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icon for ¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

icon for ¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?

John Thune 43%

Chuck Schumer 24%

Brian Schatz 8%

Lindsey Graham 5.4%

Polymarket

$81,116 Vol.

John Thune 43%

Chuck Schumer 24%

Brian Schatz 8%

Lindsey Graham 5.4%

Polymarket

$81,116 Vol.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$6,727 Vol.

43%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$11,140 Vol.

24%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,525 Vol.

8%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$12,501 Vol.

5%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$5,905 Vol.

5%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$4,602 Vol.

2%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$23,542 Vol.

2%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$4,594 Vol.

2%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$2,113 Vol.

2%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$3,631 Vol.

2%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$3,835 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.John Thune holds the leading position in the market at 45% as the current Republican majority leader, reflecting his established role shepherding the GOP conference since succeeding Mitch McConnell and his alignment with the party's agenda ahead of the November 2026 elections. Chuck Schumer sits at 23.5% as Democratic minority leader, tied to the possibility of Democrats netting the roughly four seats needed to flip chamber control. Other listed senators represent potential intra-party successors or alternatives should leadership contests arise post-election. Recent developments include Thune's public confidence in retaining or expanding the GOP's 53-45 majority despite primary challenges and Trump endorsements in key races, alongside Schumer's recruitment efforts amid internal Democratic debates over strategy on a challenging map. The implied probabilities capture uncertainty over election outcomes, with trader consensus viewing these figures as the most plausible paths to the next leadership post.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$81,116
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.John Thune holds the leading position in the market at 45% as the current Republican majority leader, reflecting his established role shepherding the GOP conference since succeeding Mitch McConnell and his alignment with the party's agenda ahead of the November 2026 elections. Chuck Schumer sits at 23.5% as Democratic minority leader, tied to the possibility of Democrats netting the roughly four seats needed to flip chamber control. Other listed senators represent potential intra-party successors or alternatives should leadership contests arise post-election. Recent developments include Thune's public confidence in retaining or expanding the GOP's 53-45 majority despite primary challenges and Trump endorsements in key races, alongside Schumer's recruitment efforts amid internal Democratic debates over strategy on a challenging map. The implied probabilities capture uncertainty over election outcomes, with trader consensus viewing these figures as the most plausible paths to the next leadership post.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volumen
$81,116
Fecha de finalización
3 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Thune" con 43%, seguido de "Chuck Schumer" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" ha generado $81.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 23, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" es "John Thune" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Chuck Schumer" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Próximo líder de la mayoría en el Senado?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.