Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% in the MA-08 Democratic primary set for September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, name recognition, and dominant cash reserves of $1.18 million as of March 31 filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath commands 39% implied probability amid robust grassroots fundraising—$900,000 total raised, including a Q1 2026 best of $288,000 without PACs—plus endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational challenge narrative in this solidly Democratic district. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 19.9% following his campaign withdrawal, with traders focused on upcoming forums and voter turnout among progressives as key swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMA-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
MA-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Stephen Lynch 71%
Patrick Roath 45%
Andrew Zylberfink 19.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
Stephen Lynch
49%
Patrick Roath
45%
Andrew Zylberfink
19%
Stephen Lynch 71%
Patrick Roath 45%
Andrew Zylberfink 19.4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
Stephen Lynch
$2,104 Vol.
49%
Patrick Roath
$0 Vol.
45%
Andrew Zylberfink
$191 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% in the MA-08 Democratic primary set for September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, name recognition, and dominant cash reserves of $1.18 million as of March 31 filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath commands 39% implied probability amid robust grassroots fundraising—$900,000 total raised, including a Q1 2026 best of $288,000 without PACs—plus endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational challenge narrative in this solidly Democratic district. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 19.9% following his campaign withdrawal, with traders focused on upcoming forums and voter turnout among progressives as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$2,295Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% in the MA-08 Democratic primary set for September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, name recognition, and dominant cash reserves of $1.18 million as of March 31 filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath commands 39% implied probability amid robust grassroots fundraising—$900,000 total raised, including a Q1 2026 best of $288,000 without PACs—plus endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational challenge narrative in this solidly Democratic district. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 19.9% following his campaign withdrawal, with traders focused on upcoming forums and voter turnout among progressives as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$2,295Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 53.5% in the MA-08 Democratic primary set for September 1, driven by his 24-year tenure, name recognition, and dominant cash reserves of $1.18 million as of March 31 filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath commands 39% implied probability amid robust grassroots fundraising—$900,000 total raised, including a Q1 2026 best of $288,000 without PACs—plus endorsements from former Gov. Deval Patrick and David Hogg's PAC, fueling a generational challenge narrative in this solidly Democratic district. Andrew Zylberfink trails at 19.9% following his campaign withdrawal, with traders focused on upcoming forums and voter turnout among progressives as key swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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