Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round due to steady gains among younger and anti-establishment voters through his Mission Party platform. Center-right governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema sit behind him amid ongoing coalition talks and July nomination conventions that have yet to consolidate opposition support. Flávio Bolsonaro trails further after the May audio scandal linking him to a disgraced banker, which dented right-wing momentum and widened gaps in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys. Lula remains the clear first-round frontrunner while most other listed names register minimal polling traction, keeping their third-place odds low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRenan Santos 48%
Ronaldo Caiado 16%
Romeu Zema 16%
Flávio Bolsonaro 7.6%
$322,991 Vol.
$322,991 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Renan Santos
48%
Ronaldo Caiado
16%
Romeu Zema
16%
Flávio Bolsonaro
8%
Fernando Haddad
3%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
2%
Camilo Santana
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Aldo Rebelo
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Renan Santos 48%
Ronaldo Caiado 16%
Romeu Zema 16%
Flávio Bolsonaro 7.6%
$322,991 Vol.
$322,991 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Renan Santos
$77,197 Vol.
48%
Ronaldo Caiado
$21,082 Vol.
16%
Romeu Zema
$12,974 Vol.
16%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$9,610 Vol.
8%
Fernando Haddad
$16,177 Vol.
3%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$6,740 Vol.
2%
Camilo Santana
$8,075 Vol.
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$6,426 Vol.
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$5,342 Vol.
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$4,917 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$40,850 Vol.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$2,035 Vol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$4,880 Vol.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$5,129 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$95,934 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$3,890 Vol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$1,735 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round due to steady gains among younger and anti-establishment voters through his Mission Party platform. Center-right governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema sit behind him amid ongoing coalition talks and July nomination conventions that have yet to consolidate opposition support. Flávio Bolsonaro trails further after the May audio scandal linking him to a disgraced banker, which dented right-wing momentum and widened gaps in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys. Lula remains the clear first-round frontrunner while most other listed names register minimal polling traction, keeping their third-place odds low.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$322,991Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round due to steady gains among younger and anti-establishment voters through his Mission Party platform. Center-right governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema sit behind him amid ongoing coalition talks and July nomination conventions that have yet to consolidate opposition support. Flávio Bolsonaro trails further after the May audio scandal linking him to a disgraced banker, which dented right-wing momentum and widened gaps in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys. Lula remains the clear first-round frontrunner while most other listed names register minimal polling traction, keeping their third-place odds low.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$322,991Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 first round due to steady gains among younger and anti-establishment voters through his Mission Party platform. Center-right governors Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema sit behind him amid ongoing coalition talks and July nomination conventions that have yet to consolidate opposition support. Flávio Bolsonaro trails further after the May audio scandal linking him to a disgraced banker, which dented right-wing momentum and widened gaps in recent Quaest and Datafolha surveys. Lula remains the clear first-round frontrunner while most other listed names register minimal polling traction, keeping their third-place odds low.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes