With Vice President J.D. Vance leading Republican presidential nominee odds for 2028 per recent CPAC straw polls (53%) and Yale surveys naming him alongside Marco Rubio as top electable figures, the VP selection remains fluid and speculative, driving a tight cluster among MAGA loyalists like Kristi Noem, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie, and Steve Bannon at 25–29%. Traders price these non-incumbent outsiders highly for their base appeal, ideological alignment, and potential to balance a Vance-led ticket—perhaps adding gubernatorial experience (Noem), youth/diversity (Ramaswamy), or congressional fire (Greene, Massie)—amid GOP fissures highlighted in late-April reporting on Trump allies' clashes. No dominant catalyst has separated leaders, but 2026 midterms, early presidential endorsements, or exploratory committees could shift trader consensus toward battleground appeal or fundraising prowess.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRepublican VP Nominee 2028
Republican VP Nominee 2028
Vivek Ramaswamy 30.7%
Kristi Noem 28.7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 26.6%
Thomas Massie 25.9%
Donald Trump
1%
J.D. Vance
9%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
5%
Ron DeSantis
5%
Nikki Haley
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
31%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
8%
Greg Abbott
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
5%
Byron Donalds
5%
Elise Stefanik
6%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
4%
Kristi Noem
29%
Mike Pence
21%
Tucker Carlson
4%
Ivanka Trump
12%
Tom Brady
1%
Rand Paul
3%
Steve Bannon
25%
Erika Kirk
8%
Kim Kardashian
3%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
27%
Thomas Massie
26%
Eric Trump
3%
Joe Kent
12%
Pete Hegseth
14%
Vivek Ramaswamy 30.7%
Kristi Noem 28.7%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 26.6%
Thomas Massie 25.9%
Donald Trump
1%
J.D. Vance
9%
Marco Rubio
26%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
5%
Ron DeSantis
5%
Nikki Haley
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
31%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
8%
Greg Abbott
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
4%
Brian Kemp
5%
Byron Donalds
5%
Elise Stefanik
6%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Matt Gaetz
4%
Katie Britt
4%
John Thune
4%
Kristi Noem
29%
Mike Pence
21%
Tucker Carlson
4%
Ivanka Trump
12%
Tom Brady
1%
Rand Paul
3%
Steve Bannon
25%
Erika Kirk
8%
Kim Kardashian
3%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
27%
Thomas Massie
26%
Eric Trump
3%
Joe Kent
12%
Pete Hegseth
14%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With Vice President J.D. Vance leading Republican presidential nominee odds for 2028 per recent CPAC straw polls (53%) and Yale surveys naming him alongside Marco Rubio as top electable figures, the VP selection remains fluid and speculative, driving a tight cluster among MAGA loyalists like Kristi Noem, Vivek Ramaswamy, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Thomas Massie, and Steve Bannon at 25–29%. Traders price these non-incumbent outsiders highly for their base appeal, ideological alignment, and potential to balance a Vance-led ticket—perhaps adding gubernatorial experience (Noem), youth/diversity (Ramaswamy), or congressional fire (Greene, Massie)—amid GOP fissures highlighted in late-April reporting on Trump allies' clashes. No dominant catalyst has separated leaders, but 2026 midterms, early presidential endorsements, or exploratory committees could shift trader consensus toward battleground appeal or fundraising prowess.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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