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icon for ¿Trump respaldará a algún candidato a la presidencia antes de 2027?

¿Trump respaldará a algún candidato a la presidencia antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Trump respaldará a algún candidato a la presidencia antes de 2027?

¿Trump respaldará a algún candidato a la presidencia antes de 2027?

12% probabilidad
Polymarket

$26,298 Vol.

12% probabilidad
Polymarket

$26,298 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.President Trump has not endorsed any prospective 2028 Republican presidential candidate as of mid-2026 and has repeatedly deferred the question. In February statements, he declined to choose between Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio despite speculation naming them as leading successors, noting he had “three years to go” and preferred to focus elsewhere. No subsequent public signals or announcements have altered that stance. Trump has instead directed endorsements toward 2026 midterm and primary contests for Senate, House, and gubernatorial seats, maintaining his typical pattern of engaging closer to election cycles rather than early in a presidential cycle. With the constitutional bar on a third term and more than six months remaining before 2027, traders view an early presidential endorsement as unlikely absent a major catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volumen
$26,298
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.President Trump has not endorsed any prospective 2028 Republican presidential candidate as of mid-2026 and has repeatedly deferred the question. In February statements, he declined to choose between Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio despite speculation naming them as leading successors, noting he had “three years to go” and preferred to focus elsewhere. No subsequent public signals or announcements have altered that stance. Trump has instead directed endorsements toward 2026 midterm and primary contests for Senate, House, and gubernatorial seats, maintaining his typical pattern of engaging closer to election cycles rather than early in a presidential cycle. With the constitutional bar on a third term and more than six months remaining before 2027, traders view an early presidential endorsement as unlikely absent a major catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volumen
$26,298
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump respaldará a algún candidato a la presidencia antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Respaldará Trump a algún candidato presidencial antes de 2027?" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 12¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump respaldará a algún candidato a la presidencia antes de 2027?" ha generado $26.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 22, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump respaldará a algún candidato a la presidencia antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump respaldará a algún candidato a la presidencia antes de 2027?" es "¿Respaldará Trump a algún candidato presidencial antes de 2027?" con 12%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump respaldará a algún candidato a la presidencia antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.