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Política·Primarias

AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Jerry Carl 65%

Rhett Marques 8%

Austin Sidwell 3.6%

James Dees 2.5%

Polymarket

$45,514 Vol.

Jerry Carl 65%

Rhett Marques 8%

Austin Sidwell 3.6%

James Dees 2.5%

Polymarket

$45,514 Vol.

Jerry Carl

$2,834 Vol.

75%

Rhett Marques

$583 Vol.

28%

Austin Sidwell

$13,794 Vol.

4%

James Dees

$4,597 Vol.

3%

Joshua McKee

$221 Vol.

2%

James Richardson

$6,864 Vol.

2%

John Mills

$16,620 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the Alabama 1st District Republican primary nomination, reflecting his first-place finish in the May 19 primary results and established name recognition from prior service in the seat. State Representative Rhett Marques trails as the main challenger after placing second in those tallies, bolstered by stronger fundraising in late 2025 and an early endorsement from Senator Katie Britt, though recent polling showed the pair remaining closely competitive among likely voters. Court rulings on congressional map litigation have revived the May primary outcomes and scheduled a June 16 runoff between the two, limiting prospects for the remaining lower-polling candidates including Austin Sidwell, James Dees, Joshua McKee, James Richardson, and John Mills. These developments anchor the current implied probabilities ahead of the decisive vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$45,514
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl holds a clear edge in trader consensus for the Alabama 1st District Republican primary nomination, reflecting his first-place finish in the May 19 primary results and established name recognition from prior service in the seat. State Representative Rhett Marques trails as the main challenger after placing second in those tallies, bolstered by stronger fundraising in late 2025 and an early endorsement from Senator Katie Britt, though recent polling showed the pair remaining closely competitive among likely voters. Court rulings on congressional map litigation have revived the May primary outcomes and scheduled a June 16 runoff between the two, limiting prospects for the remaining lower-polling candidates including Austin Sidwell, James Dees, Joshua McKee, James Richardson, and John Mills. These developments anchor the current implied probabilities ahead of the decisive vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$45,514
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jerry Carl" con 75%, seguido de "Rhett Marques" con 28%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 75¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $45.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Jerry Carl" con 75%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Rhett Marques" con 28%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.