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Política·Primarias

AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Rhett Marques 56%

Jerry Carl 42%

Joshua McKee 26.5%

Austin Sidwell 13.6%

Polymarket

$39,779 Vol.

Rhett Marques 56%

Jerry Carl 42%

Joshua McKee 26.5%

Austin Sidwell 13.6%

Polymarket

$39,779 Vol.

Rhett Marques

$169 Vol.

56%

Jerry Carl

$648 Vol.

42%

Joshua McKee

$144 Vol.

27%

Austin Sidwell

$13,496 Vol.

14%

John Mills

$15,410 Vol.

3%

James Dees

$4,308 Vol.

2%

James Richardson

$5,603 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Rhett Marques leads Polymarket trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by a recent April 20-22 poll showing him edging former Rep. Jerry Carl 22%-20% among likely voters, with 47% undecided signaling potential for late momentum. Marques benefits from Sen. Katie Britt's endorsement, recent fundraising edges, and $250,000 in super PAC support from Alabama Christian Conservatives, while Carl's 40% pricing reflects his name recognition from prior service but weighs his 2024 primary loss to Barry Moore after redistricting. Trailing candidates like Austin Sidwell (12.7%) and Joshua McKee (11.1%) gain minor traction post-April 15-16 candidate forums, but frontrunners eye a likely runoff if no majority emerges in the open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$39,779
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Rhett Marques leads Polymarket trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, driven by a recent April 20-22 poll showing him edging former Rep. Jerry Carl 22%-20% among likely voters, with 47% undecided signaling potential for late momentum. Marques benefits from Sen. Katie Britt's endorsement, recent fundraising edges, and $250,000 in super PAC support from Alabama Christian Conservatives, while Carl's 40% pricing reflects his name recognition from prior service but weighs his 2024 primary loss to Barry Moore after redistricting. Trailing candidates like Austin Sidwell (12.7%) and Joshua McKee (11.1%) gain minor traction post-April 15-16 candidate forums, but frontrunners eye a likely runoff if no majority emerges in the open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$39,779
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rhett Marques" con 56%, seguido de "Jerry Carl" con 42%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $39.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Rhett Marques" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jerry Carl" con 42%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "AL-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.