Kevin Hern maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary due to his March 2026 announcement for the open seat, following President Trump’s nomination of incumbent Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security. As a sitting U.S. Representative with established name recognition in the Tulsa area, Hern has secured a substantial fundraising edge and Trump’s endorsement, while facing a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers ahead of the June 16 primary. This positioning reflects trader assessment of structural advantages in a low-turnout contest. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unforeseen late developments in the final days or significantly higher-than-expected turnout favoring an opponent, though the timeline leaves limited opportunity for such changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Oklahoma
Kevin Hern 99.2%
Markwayne Mullin <1%
Donelle Harder <1%
John M. O’Connor <1%
$78,545 Vol.
$78,545 Vol.
Kevin Hern
99%
Markwayne Mullin
<1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
John M. O’Connor
<1%
Nick Hankins
<1%
Wayne Lonny Washington
<1%
Ron Meinhardt
<1%
Matt Pinnell
<1%
Tammy Swearengin
<1%
Stephanie Bice
<1%
Kevin Hern 99.2%
Markwayne Mullin <1%
Donelle Harder <1%
John M. O’Connor <1%
$78,545 Vol.
$78,545 Vol.
Kevin Hern
99%
Markwayne Mullin
<1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
John M. O’Connor
<1%
Nick Hankins
<1%
Wayne Lonny Washington
<1%
Ron Meinhardt
<1%
Matt Pinnell
<1%
Tammy Swearengin
<1%
Stephanie Bice
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kevin Hern maintains overwhelming trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican Senate primary due to his March 2026 announcement for the open seat, following President Trump’s nomination of incumbent Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security. As a sitting U.S. Representative with established name recognition in the Tulsa area, Hern has secured a substantial fundraising edge and Trump’s endorsement, while facing a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers ahead of the June 16 primary. This positioning reflects trader assessment of structural advantages in a low-turnout contest. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unforeseen late developments in the final days or significantly higher-than-expected turnout favoring an opponent, though the timeline leaves limited opportunity for such changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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