Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 91.7% to win Alabama's open gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched Republican dominance—no Democratic governor since 1998—and U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's frontrunner status in the May 19 Republican primary, where he leads polls at 63% with $8.6 million cash-on-hand and endorsements from Donald Trump and Lt. Gov. Will Ainsworth. Former Sen. Doug Jones fronts a fragmented Democratic primary field via superior fundraising ($951,000 cash-on-hand) but faces steep odds amid GOP trifecta control and a November 2025 poll showing Tuberville ahead 53%-34%. Ratings agencies like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican. Late-breaking GOP scandals, residency challenges, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surges could shift dynamics, though historical base rates suggest formidable barriers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama

Republicano
92%

Demócrata
6%

Republicano
92%

Demócrata
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Republicans at 91.7% to win Alabama's open gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched Republican dominance—no Democratic governor since 1998—and U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville's frontrunner status in the May 19 Republican primary, where he leads polls at 63% with $8.6 million cash-on-hand and endorsements from Donald Trump and Lt. Gov. Will Ainsworth. Former Sen. Doug Jones fronts a fragmented Democratic primary field via superior fundraising ($951,000 cash-on-hand) but faces steep odds amid GOP trifecta control and a November 2025 poll showing Tuberville ahead 53%-34%. Ratings agencies like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican. Late-breaking GOP scandals, residency challenges, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surges could shift dynamics, though historical base rates suggest formidable barriers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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