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Trump Cabinet predictions & odds

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How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

27%

2

$3.5K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

34%

Mike Waltz

$3.6K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

58%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$62.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?

Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?

1%

$3.0K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

16%

$8.5K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

48%

Keith Sonderling

$46.2K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

42%

$13.9K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

81%

$2.8K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

21%

$5.3K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

62%

June 30

$22.2K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 15 days

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

6%

$9.6K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

14%

$682K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

31

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

10%

$9M Vol.

$388K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

4%

June 30

$176K Vol.

$17.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 15 days

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

7%

$33.6K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

7%

$484K Vol.

$54.6K Liq.

28

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

4%

$20.3K Vol.

$13.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

13%

$19.1K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

9

Ends in 7 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$7M Vol.

$153K today

$630K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

54%

December 31, 2026

$7.9K Vol.

$502 Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Trump Cabinet that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $19.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump out as President before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Trump Cabinet predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.