Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% due to the formidable constitutional barriers under the 22nd Amendment, requiring two-thirds supermajorities in both houses of Congress and ratification by 38 states—a process with no successful precedent for term limit repeals amid divided government. No bills proposing repeal have advanced beyond Rep. Andy Ogles' early 2025 symbolic resolution, which stalled without committee action. President Trump's February 2026 announcement backing congressional term limits—six years for House members, 12 for senators—highlights priorities curbing legislative careers, not extending executive ones, amid focus on spending bills and agency funding. Late-breaking bipartisan support or unforeseen legal challenges remain unlikely catalysts for change before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
Sí
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% due to the formidable constitutional barriers under the 22nd Amendment, requiring two-thirds supermajorities in both houses of Congress and ratification by 38 states—a process with no successful precedent for term limit repeals amid divided government. No bills proposing repeal have advanced beyond Rep. Andy Ogles' early 2025 symbolic resolution, which stalled without committee action. President Trump's February 2026 announcement backing congressional term limits—six years for House members, 12 for senators—highlights priorities curbing legislative careers, not extending executive ones, amid focus on spending bills and agency funding. Late-breaking bipartisan support or unforeseen legal challenges remain unlikely catalysts for change before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes