Pete Hegseth, confirmed as Secretary of Defense in a narrow 51-50 Senate vote in January 2025, continues to lead the Pentagon amid the ongoing war with Iran, with traders pricing an 84.5% chance he remains in office past June 30. His recent testimony before the House Armed Services Committee on April 29 defended a proposed $1.5 trillion Fiscal Year 2027 defense budget and addressed bipartisan concerns over personnel firings, casualty reporting, and munitions stockpiles, drawing sharp exchanges with Democrats but no calls for resignation from Republicans. Despite low approval ratings around 35% and scrutiny of Pentagon purges—including the Army chief of staff—lack of White House signals or Senate holds reinforces trader consensus on short-term stability through the resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$117,833 Vol.
$117,833 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$117,833 Vol.
$117,833 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth, confirmed as Secretary of Defense in a narrow 51-50 Senate vote in January 2025, continues to lead the Pentagon amid the ongoing war with Iran, with traders pricing an 84.5% chance he remains in office past June 30. His recent testimony before the House Armed Services Committee on April 29 defended a proposed $1.5 trillion Fiscal Year 2027 defense budget and addressed bipartisan concerns over personnel firings, casualty reporting, and munitions stockpiles, drawing sharp exchanges with Democrats but no calls for resignation from Republicans. Despite low approval ratings around 35% and scrutiny of Pentagon purges—including the Army chief of staff—lack of White House signals or Senate holds reinforces trader consensus on short-term stability through the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volumen
$117,833Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth, confirmed as Secretary of Defense in a narrow 51-50 Senate vote in January 2025, continues to lead the Pentagon amid the ongoing war with Iran, with traders pricing an 84.5% chance he remains in office past June 30. His recent testimony before the House Armed Services Committee on April 29 defended a proposed $1.5 trillion Fiscal Year 2027 defense budget and addressed bipartisan concerns over personnel firings, casualty reporting, and munitions stockpiles, drawing sharp exchanges with Democrats but no calls for resignation from Republicans. Despite low approval ratings around 35% and scrutiny of Pentagon purges—including the Army chief of staff—lack of White House signals or Senate holds reinforces trader consensus on short-term stability through the resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$117,833Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pete Hegseth, confirmed as Secretary of Defense in a narrow 51-50 Senate vote in January 2025, continues to lead the Pentagon amid the ongoing war with Iran, with traders pricing an 84.5% chance he remains in office past June 30. His recent testimony before the House Armed Services Committee on April 29 defended a proposed $1.5 trillion Fiscal Year 2027 defense budget and addressed bipartisan concerns over personnel firings, casualty reporting, and munitions stockpiles, drawing sharp exchanges with Democrats but no calls for resignation from Republicans. Despite low approval ratings around 35% and scrutiny of Pentagon purges—including the Army chief of staff—lack of White House signals or Senate holds reinforces trader consensus on short-term stability through the resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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