Skip to main content
icon for ¿Trump eliminado a través de la 25ª Enmienda antes de 2027?
Política·Trump

¿Trump eliminado a través de la 25ª Enmienda antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Trump eliminado a través de la 25ª Enmienda antes de 2027?
Política·Trump

¿Trump eliminado a través de la 25ª Enmienda antes de 2027?

dic 31

dic 31

Sí

12% probabilidad
Polymarket

$22,990 Vol.

Sí

12% probabilidad
Polymarket

$22,990 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% for President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, reflecting the amendment's high procedural barriers: invocation requires Vice President JD Vance plus a majority of principal cabinet officers to declare incapacity, with no reported internal support from Trump's loyal appointees. Mid-April calls intensified from House Democrats like Rep. Jamie Raskin, who introduced a bill for an independent presidential fitness commission, alongside NAACP demands citing health concerns amid escalating Iran war threats of destroying infrastructure—yet these remain partisan efforts lacking GOP backing or executive action. Trump has sustained public duties, including signing an executive order expediting psychedelic drug reviews on April 18 and recent policy addresses, underscoring stability in his administration absent any cabinet rebellion or medical crisis.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Volumen
$22,990
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5% for President Trump being removed via the 25th Amendment before 2027, reflecting the amendment's high procedural barriers: invocation requires Vice President JD Vance plus a majority of principal cabinet officers to declare incapacity, with no reported internal support from Trump's loyal appointees. Mid-April calls intensified from House Democrats like Rep. Jamie Raskin, who introduced a bill for an independent presidential fitness commission, alongside NAACP demands citing health concerns amid escalating Iran war threats of destroying infrastructure—yet these remain partisan efforts lacking GOP backing or executive action. Trump has sustained public duties, including signing an executive order expediting psychedelic drug reviews on April 18 and recent policy addresses, underscoring stability in his administration absent any cabinet rebellion or medical crisis.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
Volumen
$22,990
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump eliminado a través de la 25ª Enmienda antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Trump será destituido mediante la 25.ª Enmienda antes de 2027?" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 12¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump eliminado a través de la 25ª Enmienda antes de 2027?" ha generado $23K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 5, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump eliminado a través de la 25ª Enmienda antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump eliminado a través de la 25ª Enmienda antes de 2027?" es "¿Trump será destituido mediante la 25.ª Enmienda antes de 2027?" con 12%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump eliminado a través de la 25ª Enmienda antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.