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Mundo·Trump-Machado

¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?

icon for ¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?
Mundo·Trump-Machado

¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?

Sí

18% probabilidad
Polymarket

$86,341 Vol.

Sí

18% probabilidad
Polymarket

$86,341 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.President Trump's January 2026 statements questioning Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado's domestic support and viability as a leader have anchored trader consensus at an 82.5% implied probability against his endorsement for the 2026 presidential vote. Despite their mid-January White House meeting—where Machado presented him her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal and received praise as a "wonderful woman"—Trump clarified she lacks the "respect of her nation" and he has not recently engaged her, signaling no backing amid Venezuela's post-Maduro transition. Recent opposition unification behind Machado and her April calls for swift elections have not prompted any shift in U.S. foreign policy signals, with traders viewing her path and Trump's priorities as misaligned.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volumen
$86,341
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.President Trump's January 2026 statements questioning Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado's domestic support and viability as a leader have anchored trader consensus at an 82.5% implied probability against his endorsement for the 2026 presidential vote. Despite their mid-January White House meeting—where Machado presented him her 2025 Nobel Peace Prize medal and received praise as a "wonderful woman"—Trump clarified she lacks the "respect of her nation" and he has not recently engaged her, signaling no backing amid Venezuela's post-Maduro transition. Recent opposition unification behind Machado and her April calls for swift elections have not prompted any shift in U.S. foreign policy signals, with traders viewing her path and Trump's priorities as misaligned.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.
Volumen
$86,341
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Respaldará Trump a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 18¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" ha generado $86.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" es "¿Respaldará Trump a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" con 18%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump respaldará a María Corina Machado para presidenta de Venezuela en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.