President Trump's trader consensus implies a 93.5% probability he will not resign by December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of credible mechanisms or signals amid recent Democratic efforts. In early April, House Democrats filed impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 citing foreign policy statements on Iran, while calling for a 25th Amendment commission led by Vice President JD Vance—actions lacking GOP support and unlikely to advance in a divided Congress. Health rumors, including a reportedly skipped annual physical, were rebuffed by the White House. With no official announcements of intent to step down and Trump actively engaging issues like Supreme Court vacancies, markets discount partisan speculation absent major scandals, legal rulings, or health crises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's trader consensus implies a 93.5% probability he will not resign by December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of credible mechanisms or signals amid recent Democratic efforts. In early April, House Democrats filed impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 citing foreign policy statements on Iran, while calling for a 25th Amendment commission led by Vice President JD Vance—actions lacking GOP support and unlikely to advance in a divided Congress. Health rumors, including a reportedly skipped annual physical, were rebuffed by the White House. With no official announcements of intent to step down and Trump actively engaging issues like Supreme Court vacancies, markets discount partisan speculation absent major scandals, legal rulings, or health crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volumen
$431,570Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's trader consensus implies a 93.5% probability he will not resign by December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of credible mechanisms or signals amid recent Democratic efforts. In early April, House Democrats filed impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 citing foreign policy statements on Iran, while calling for a 25th Amendment commission led by Vice President JD Vance—actions lacking GOP support and unlikely to advance in a divided Congress. Health rumors, including a reportedly skipped annual physical, were rebuffed by the White House. With no official announcements of intent to step down and Trump actively engaging issues like Supreme Court vacancies, markets discount partisan speculation absent major scandals, legal rulings, or health crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$431,570Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...President Trump's trader consensus implies a 93.5% probability he will not resign by December 31, 2026, driven by the absence of credible mechanisms or signals amid recent Democratic efforts. In early April, House Democrats filed impeachment resolutions like H.Res.939 and H.Res.1155 citing foreign policy statements on Iran, while calling for a 25th Amendment commission led by Vice President JD Vance—actions lacking GOP support and unlikely to advance in a divided Congress. Health rumors, including a reportedly skipped annual physical, were rebuffed by the White House. With no official announcements of intent to step down and Trump actively engaging issues like Supreme Court vacancies, markets discount partisan speculation absent major scandals, legal rulings, or health crises.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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