Skip to main content
icon for Trump approval rating on June 19?

Trump approval rating on June 19?

icon for Trump approval rating on June 19?

Trump approval rating on June 19?

jun 19

jun 19

38.5–38.9 49%

39.0–39.4 31%

38.0–38.4 22%

39.5–39.9 10%

Polymarket
NUEVO

38.5–38.9 49%

39.0–39.4 31%

38.0–38.4 22%

39.5–39.9 10%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<38.0

$482 Vol.

4%

38.0–38.4

$411 Vol.

23%

38.5–38.9

$210 Vol.

49%

39.0–39.4

$320 Vol.

30%

39.5–39.9

$241 Vol.

10%

40,0+

$439 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls from outlets including NBC News, Reuters/Ipsos, and Marquette Law School place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early June 2026, reflecting steady erosion tied to voter concerns over the economy, cost of living, and foreign policy decisions such as Middle East engagements. Aggregators show term averages near 37-40 percent with net approval often between -18 and -25, consistent with historical patterns for unpopular second-term presidents ahead of midterms. These figures anchor trader consensus around the 38.5–39.4 ranges for the June 19 snapshot, while lower or higher bins draw less volume given limited recent upward movement and the absence of major positive catalysts in the immediate window.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$2,103
Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls from outlets including NBC News, Reuters/Ipsos, and Marquette Law School place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early June 2026, reflecting steady erosion tied to voter concerns over the economy, cost of living, and foreign policy decisions such as Middle East engagements. Aggregators show term averages near 37-40 percent with net approval often between -18 and -25, consistent with historical patterns for unpopular second-term presidents ahead of midterms. These figures anchor trader consensus around the 38.5–39.4 ranges for the June 19 snapshot, while lower or higher bins draw less volume given limited recent upward movement and the absence of major positive catalysts in the immediate window.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$2,103
Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Trump approval rating on June 19?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "38.5–38.9" con 49%, seguido de "39.0–39.4" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Trump approval rating on June 19?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 13, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Trump approval rating on June 19?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Trump approval rating on June 19?" es "38.5–38.9" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "39.0–39.4" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Trump approval rating on June 19?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.