Recent national polls from outlets including NBC News, Reuters/Ipsos, and Marquette Law School place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early June 2026, reflecting steady erosion tied to voter concerns over the economy, cost of living, and foreign policy decisions such as Middle East engagements. Aggregators show term averages near 37-40 percent with net approval often between -18 and -25, consistent with historical patterns for unpopular second-term presidents ahead of midterms. These figures anchor trader consensus around the 38.5–39.4 ranges for the June 19 snapshot, while lower or higher bins draw less volume given limited recent upward movement and the absence of major positive catalysts in the immediate window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTrump approval rating on June 19?
38.5–38.9 49%
39.0–39.4 31%
38.0–38.4 22%
39.5–39.9 10%
<38.0
4%
38.0–38.4
23%
38.5–38.9
49%
39.0–39.4
30%
39.5–39.9
10%
40,0+
2%
38.5–38.9 49%
39.0–39.4 31%
38.0–38.4 22%
39.5–39.9 10%
<38.0
4%
38.0–38.4
23%
38.5–38.9
49%
39.0–39.4
30%
39.5–39.9
10%
40,0+
2%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls from outlets including NBC News, Reuters/Ipsos, and Marquette Law School place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early June 2026, reflecting steady erosion tied to voter concerns over the economy, cost of living, and foreign policy decisions such as Middle East engagements. Aggregators show term averages near 37-40 percent with net approval often between -18 and -25, consistent with historical patterns for unpopular second-term presidents ahead of midterms. These figures anchor trader consensus around the 38.5–39.4 ranges for the June 19 snapshot, while lower or higher bins draw less volume given limited recent upward movement and the absence of major positive catalysts in the immediate window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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