Trader consensus prices "No" at 67.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade and military tensions. Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the strait, end hostilities, and lift US sanctions—while postponing nuclear talks—was rejected by the Trump administration, which insists on immediate limits to Tehran's advanced uranium enrichment and ballistic missile program before any concessions. With no breakthroughs since talks began in 2025 via Omani and Pakistani mediators, IAEA assessments highlight Iran's nuclear advances rendering the 2015 JCPOA obsolete, and President Trump's April 29-30 statements emphasizing no nuclear weapon for Iran underscore deep rifts. Upcoming Iranian counterproposals face high barriers within two months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
Sí
$1,458,889 Vol.
$1,458,889 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$1,458,889 Vol.
$1,458,889 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 67.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade and military tensions. Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the strait, end hostilities, and lift US sanctions—while postponing nuclear talks—was rejected by the Trump administration, which insists on immediate limits to Tehran's advanced uranium enrichment and ballistic missile program before any concessions. With no breakthroughs since talks began in 2025 via Omani and Pakistani mediators, IAEA assessments highlight Iran's nuclear advances rendering the 2015 JCPOA obsolete, and President Trump's April 29-30 statements emphasizing no nuclear weapon for Iran underscore deep rifts. Upcoming Iranian counterproposals face high barriers within two months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$1,458,889Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 67.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade and military tensions. Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the strait, end hostilities, and lift US sanctions—while postponing nuclear talks—was rejected by the Trump administration, which insists on immediate limits to Tehran's advanced uranium enrichment and ballistic missile program before any concessions. With no breakthroughs since talks began in 2025 via Omani and Pakistani mediators, IAEA assessments highlight Iran's nuclear advances rendering the 2015 JCPOA obsolete, and President Trump's April 29-30 statements emphasizing no nuclear weapon for Iran underscore deep rifts. Upcoming Iranian counterproposals face high barriers within two months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$1,461,231Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 67.5% for a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, reflecting stalled indirect negotiations amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz blockade and military tensions. Iran's April 27 proposal to reopen the strait, end hostilities, and lift US sanctions—while postponing nuclear talks—was rejected by the Trump administration, which insists on immediate limits to Tehran's advanced uranium enrichment and ballistic missile program before any concessions. With no breakthroughs since talks began in 2025 via Omani and Pakistani mediators, IAEA assessments highlight Iran's nuclear advances rendering the 2015 JCPOA obsolete, and President Trump's April 29-30 statements emphasizing no nuclear weapon for Iran underscore deep rifts. Upcoming Iranian counterproposals face high barriers within two months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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