Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including recent rounds mediated by Oman and Pakistan, have produced statements from President Trump indicating proximity to a memorandum of understanding that could extend the ceasefire while launching a 60-day framework for nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz reopening. Iranian officials have expressed caution on exact timing and details, with enrichment levels and verification measures remaining core sticking points. These developments, alongside military postures and prior conflict phases, underpin trader consensus at 55% for a full nuclear agreement by June 30. The compressed timeline and unresolved technical issues introduce meaningful uncertainty, as historical precedents show such pacts require extended diplomacy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
Sí
$9,520,744 Vol.
$9,520,744 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$9,520,744 Vol.
$9,520,744 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including recent rounds mediated by Oman and Pakistan, have produced statements from President Trump indicating proximity to a memorandum of understanding that could extend the ceasefire while launching a 60-day framework for nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz reopening. Iranian officials have expressed caution on exact timing and details, with enrichment levels and verification measures remaining core sticking points. These developments, alongside military postures and prior conflict phases, underpin trader consensus at 55% for a full nuclear agreement by June 30. The compressed timeline and unresolved technical issues introduce meaningful uncertainty, as historical precedents show such pacts require extended diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$9,520,744Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including recent rounds mediated by Oman and Pakistan, have produced statements from President Trump indicating proximity to a memorandum of understanding that could extend the ceasefire while launching a 60-day framework for nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz reopening. Iranian officials have expressed caution on exact timing and details, with enrichment levels and verification measures remaining core sticking points. These developments, alongside military postures and prior conflict phases, underpin trader consensus at 55% for a full nuclear agreement by June 30. The compressed timeline and unresolved technical issues introduce meaningful uncertainty, as historical precedents show such pacts require extended diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$9,526,394Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations, including recent rounds mediated by Oman and Pakistan, have produced statements from President Trump indicating proximity to a memorandum of understanding that could extend the ceasefire while launching a 60-day framework for nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz reopening. Iranian officials have expressed caution on exact timing and details, with enrichment levels and verification measures remaining core sticking points. These developments, alongside military postures and prior conflict phases, underpin trader consensus at 55% for a full nuclear agreement by June 30. The compressed timeline and unresolved technical issues introduce meaningful uncertainty, as historical precedents show such pacts require extended diplomacy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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