Trump remains actively engaged in presidential duties as of mid-June 2026, issuing executive orders on civil service reform, health policy, and national security while participating in cabinet meetings and signing recent proclamations. Bipartisan calls for invoking the 25th Amendment arose in April 2026 amid Iran-related statements but produced no formal action or removal process. With Republicans holding congressional majorities, any impeachment effort faces steep procedural hurdles, including the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction. No verified health or incapacity developments have triggered succession mechanisms, and midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 will not alter the presidency before 2027. Traders price the low likelihood of resignation or constitutional removal accordingly, consistent with historical patterns for sitting presidents backed by unified government.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
¿Trump saldrá como presidente antes de 2027?
Sí
$9,024,530 Vol.
$9,024,530 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$9,024,530 Vol.
$9,024,530 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains actively engaged in presidential duties as of mid-June 2026, issuing executive orders on civil service reform, health policy, and national security while participating in cabinet meetings and signing recent proclamations. Bipartisan calls for invoking the 25th Amendment arose in April 2026 amid Iran-related statements but produced no formal action or removal process. With Republicans holding congressional majorities, any impeachment effort faces steep procedural hurdles, including the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction. No verified health or incapacity developments have triggered succession mechanisms, and midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 will not alter the presidency before 2027. Traders price the low likelihood of resignation or constitutional removal accordingly, consistent with historical patterns for sitting presidents backed by unified government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volumen
$9,024,530Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains actively engaged in presidential duties as of mid-June 2026, issuing executive orders on civil service reform, health policy, and national security while participating in cabinet meetings and signing recent proclamations. Bipartisan calls for invoking the 25th Amendment arose in April 2026 amid Iran-related statements but produced no formal action or removal process. With Republicans holding congressional majorities, any impeachment effort faces steep procedural hurdles, including the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction. No verified health or incapacity developments have triggered succession mechanisms, and midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 will not alter the presidency before 2027. Traders price the low likelihood of resignation or constitutional removal accordingly, consistent with historical patterns for sitting presidents backed by unified government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$9,024,563Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump remains actively engaged in presidential duties as of mid-June 2026, issuing executive orders on civil service reform, health policy, and national security while participating in cabinet meetings and signing recent proclamations. Bipartisan calls for invoking the 25th Amendment arose in April 2026 amid Iran-related statements but produced no formal action or removal process. With Republicans holding congressional majorities, any impeachment effort faces steep procedural hurdles, including the two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction. No verified health or incapacity developments have triggered succession mechanisms, and midterm elections scheduled for November 2026 will not alter the presidency before 2027. Traders price the low likelihood of resignation or constitutional removal accordingly, consistent with historical patterns for sitting presidents backed by unified government.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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