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New York City predictions & odds

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Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?

Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?

49%

60-61°F

$184K Vol.

$150K today

$20.4K Liq.

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 30?

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 30?

100%

48-49°F

$77.6K Vol.

$61.2K today

$8.5K Liq.

Highest temperature in NYC on May 1?

Highest temperature in NYC on May 1?

37%

64-65°F

$44.0K Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Lowest temperature in NYC on May 1?

Lowest temperature in NYC on May 1?

33%

46-47°F

$18.2K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Highest temperature in NYC on May 2?

Highest temperature in NYC on May 2?

34%

60-61°F

$14.0K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Lowest temperature in NYC on May 2?

Lowest temperature in NYC on May 2?

31%

48-49°F

$3.3K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

2%

$245K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

65

Ends in 2 months

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

26%

$254K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

29

Ends in 8 months

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

16%

$17.4K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

16%

$57.2K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

Will Zohran Mamdani release another song?

49%

$0 Vol.

$7 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like New York City.

Polymarket currently hosts 11 active markets for New York City that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $915K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Highest temperature in NYC on April 30?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 74% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on New York City predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.