**Current NWS and model guidance for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations points to a daytime high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning the 88-89°F outcome as the market favorite at 64.5% implied probability.** This reflects traders' assessment of typical forecast uncertainty ranges and the possibility of localized warming or slight model underestimation, while the 31% on 90-91°F captures upside risks from stronger insolation or delayed sea-breeze onset. Historical June climatology for the region shows average highs near 80°F, with 88°F+ occurring on a minority of days; today's stable high-pressure pattern and lack of significant moisture or frontal activity keep probabilities concentrated in the upper 80s. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 14 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 14 de junio?
88-89°F 87%
90-91°F 12%
92-93°F 1.4%
94-95°F <1%
$50,734 Vol.
$50,734 Vol.
14 jun 2026
83°F o menos
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
87%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o más
<1%
88-89°F 87%
90-91°F 12%
92-93°F 1.4%
94-95°F <1%
$50,734 Vol.
$50,734 Vol.
14 jun 2026
83°F o menos
$3,791 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$6,147 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$14,299 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$5,065 Vol.
87%
90-91°F
$10,917 Vol.
12%
92-93°F
$5,217 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$4,931 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$2,210 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,103 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$528 Vol.
<1%
102°F o más
$497 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations points to a daytime high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning the 88-89°F outcome as the market favorite at 64.5% implied probability.**
This reflects traders' assessment of typical forecast uncertainty ranges and the possibility of localized warming or slight model underestimation, while the 31% on 90-91°F captures upside risks from stronger insolation or delayed sea-breeze onset. Historical June climatology for the region shows average highs near 80°F, with 88°F+ occurring on a minority of days; today's stable high-pressure pattern and lack of significant moisture or frontal activity keep probabilities concentrated in the upper 80s. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$50,734Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations points to a daytime high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning the 88-89°F outcome as the market favorite at 64.5% implied probability.**
This reflects traders' assessment of typical forecast uncertainty ranges and the possibility of localized warming or slight model underestimation, while the 31% on 90-91°F captures upside risks from stronger insolation or delayed sea-breeze onset. Historical June climatology for the region shows average highs near 80°F, with 88°F+ occurring on a minority of days; today's stable high-pressure pattern and lack of significant moisture or frontal activity keep probabilities concentrated in the upper 80s. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$50,734Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current NWS and model guidance for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations points to a daytime high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, positioning the 88-89°F outcome as the market favorite at 64.5% implied probability.** This reflects traders' assessment of typical forecast uncertainty ranges and the possibility of localized warming or slight model underestimation, while the 31% on 90-91°F captures upside risks from stronger insolation or delayed sea-breeze onset. Historical June climatology for the region shows average highs near 80°F, with 88°F+ occurring on a minority of days; today's stable high-pressure pattern and lack of significant moisture or frontal activity keep probabilities concentrated in the upper 80s. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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