Brazil's central bank is widely expected to extend its easing cycle at the June 17 Copom meeting, with trader consensus assigning a 68% implied probability to a further 25-basis-point reduction in the Selic rate from the current 14.50% level. Recent April inflation forecasts showing 2026 headline inflation at 4.6%—well above the 3% target—combined with elevated geopolitical oil-price risks have tempered the pace of cuts, yet monetary policy remains restrictive and GDP growth has cooled, supporting scope for additional easing. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, with a 33% chance of no change priced in amid hawkish revisions to consensus forecasts, while an increase is viewed as negligible at 0.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
Disminuir 68%
Sin cambios 33.0%
Aumentar <1%
$298,027 Vol.
$298,027 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
1%
Sin cambios
33%
Disminuir
68%
Disminuir 68%
Sin cambios 33.0%
Aumentar <1%
$298,027 Vol.
$298,027 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
$68,561 Vol.
1%
Sin cambios
$104,067 Vol.
33%
Disminuir
$125,398 Vol.
68%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil's central bank is widely expected to extend its easing cycle at the June 17 Copom meeting, with trader consensus assigning a 68% implied probability to a further 25-basis-point reduction in the Selic rate from the current 14.50% level. Recent April inflation forecasts showing 2026 headline inflation at 4.6%—well above the 3% target—combined with elevated geopolitical oil-price risks have tempered the pace of cuts, yet monetary policy remains restrictive and GDP growth has cooled, supporting scope for additional easing. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, with a 33% chance of no change priced in amid hawkish revisions to consensus forecasts, while an increase is viewed as negligible at 0.5%.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$298,027Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil's central bank is widely expected to extend its easing cycle at the June 17 Copom meeting, with trader consensus assigning a 68% implied probability to a further 25-basis-point reduction in the Selic rate from the current 14.50% level. Recent April inflation forecasts showing 2026 headline inflation at 4.6%—well above the 3% target—combined with elevated geopolitical oil-price risks have tempered the pace of cuts, yet monetary policy remains restrictive and GDP growth has cooled, supporting scope for additional easing. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, with a 33% chance of no change priced in amid hawkish revisions to consensus forecasts, while an increase is viewed as negligible at 0.5%.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$298,027Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's central bank is widely expected to extend its easing cycle at the June 17 Copom meeting, with trader consensus assigning a 68% implied probability to a further 25-basis-point reduction in the Selic rate from the current 14.50% level. Recent April inflation forecasts showing 2026 headline inflation at 4.6%—well above the 3% target—combined with elevated geopolitical oil-price risks have tempered the pace of cuts, yet monetary policy remains restrictive and GDP growth has cooled, supporting scope for additional easing. Market-implied odds reflect these dynamics, with a 33% chance of no change priced in amid hawkish revisions to consensus forecasts, while an increase is viewed as negligible at 0.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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