Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle underway after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts to 14.75% in March and 14.50% in late April. Moderating inflation pressures underpin this positioning, with April's IPCA-15 rising 0.89% month-over-month—below forecasts despite acceleration from March—while annual rates eased to 3.81% in February, nearing the 3% target amid contained geopolitical oil shocks from Middle East tensions. No-change odds at 23% acknowledge upside risks from fiscal dynamics and 4.1% 2026 inflation expectations, ahead of May IPCA data and the next Copom review.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
Disminuir 78%
Sin cambios 22.2%
Aumentar <1%
$75,197 Vol.
$75,197 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
1%
Sin cambios
22%
Disminuir
78%
Disminuir 78%
Sin cambios 22.2%
Aumentar <1%
$75,197 Vol.
$75,197 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
$25,490 Vol.
1%
Sin cambios
$20,144 Vol.
22%
Disminuir
$31,765 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle underway after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts to 14.75% in March and 14.50% in late April. Moderating inflation pressures underpin this positioning, with April's IPCA-15 rising 0.89% month-over-month—below forecasts despite acceleration from March—while annual rates eased to 3.81% in February, nearing the 3% target amid contained geopolitical oil shocks from Middle East tensions. No-change odds at 23% acknowledge upside risks from fiscal dynamics and 4.1% 2026 inflation expectations, ahead of May IPCA data and the next Copom review.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$75,197Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle underway after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts to 14.75% in March and 14.50% in late April. Moderating inflation pressures underpin this positioning, with April's IPCA-15 rising 0.89% month-over-month—below forecasts despite acceleration from March—while annual rates eased to 3.81% in February, nearing the 3% target amid contained geopolitical oil shocks from Middle East tensions. No-change odds at 23% acknowledge upside risks from fiscal dynamics and 4.1% 2026 inflation expectations, ahead of May IPCA data and the next Copom review.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$75,197Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) Selic rate decrease at the June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting the easing cycle underway after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts to 14.75% in March and 14.50% in late April. Moderating inflation pressures underpin this positioning, with April's IPCA-15 rising 0.89% month-over-month—below forecasts despite acceleration from March—while annual rates eased to 3.81% in February, nearing the 3% target amid contained geopolitical oil shocks from Middle East tensions. No-change odds at 23% acknowledge upside risks from fiscal dynamics and 4.1% 2026 inflation expectations, ahead of May IPCA data and the next Copom review.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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