Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.7% chance against Iran holding a presidential election by June 30, 2026, reflecting President Masoud Pezeshkian's stable tenure following his 2024 snap victory after Ebrahim Raisi's death, with his four-year term extending to 2028 absent a vacancy. Iran's constitution mandates a snap election within 50 days only upon presidential death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have occurred amid recent diplomatic activity, including Pezeshkian's April 2026 open letter to Americans and statements on regional tensions. No official announcements from the Supreme Leader or Guardian Council signal an early vote, and no major unrest has disrupted leadership continuity in the past month. Late-breaking scenarios like a health crisis or resignation could still trigger proceedings, though barriers remain high given institutional stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Irán celebrará elecciones presidenciales antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán celebrará elecciones presidenciales antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$209,326 Vol.
$209,326 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$209,326 Vol.
$209,326 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.7% chance against Iran holding a presidential election by June 30, 2026, reflecting President Masoud Pezeshkian's stable tenure following his 2024 snap victory after Ebrahim Raisi's death, with his four-year term extending to 2028 absent a vacancy. Iran's constitution mandates a snap election within 50 days only upon presidential death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have occurred amid recent diplomatic activity, including Pezeshkian's April 2026 open letter to Americans and statements on regional tensions. No official announcements from the Supreme Leader or Guardian Council signal an early vote, and no major unrest has disrupted leadership continuity in the past month. Late-breaking scenarios like a health crisis or resignation could still trigger proceedings, though barriers remain high given institutional stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volumen
$209,326Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.7% chance against Iran holding a presidential election by June 30, 2026, reflecting President Masoud Pezeshkian's stable tenure following his 2024 snap victory after Ebrahim Raisi's death, with his four-year term extending to 2028 absent a vacancy. Iran's constitution mandates a snap election within 50 days only upon presidential death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have occurred amid recent diplomatic activity, including Pezeshkian's April 2026 open letter to Americans and statements on regional tensions. No official announcements from the Supreme Leader or Guardian Council signal an early vote, and no major unrest has disrupted leadership continuity in the past month. Late-breaking scenarios like a health crisis or resignation could still trigger proceedings, though barriers remain high given institutional stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$209,326Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 96.7% chance against Iran holding a presidential election by June 30, 2026, reflecting President Masoud Pezeshkian's stable tenure following his 2024 snap victory after Ebrahim Raisi's death, with his four-year term extending to 2028 absent a vacancy. Iran's constitution mandates a snap election within 50 days only upon presidential death, resignation, or incapacity, none of which have occurred amid recent diplomatic activity, including Pezeshkian's April 2026 open letter to Americans and statements on regional tensions. No official announcements from the Supreme Leader or Guardian Council signal an early vote, and no major unrest has disrupted leadership continuity in the past month. Late-breaking scenarios like a health crisis or resignation could still trigger proceedings, though barriers remain high given institutional stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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