Recent developments have reinforced trader expectations of no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, with plans for a Budapest summit shelved in early June amid stalled Ukraine talks and shifting U.S. priorities. Ongoing envoy-level contacts, including discussions of economic projects, have not produced a scheduled bilateral encounter, consistent with the 57.5% implied probability for no meeting. China leads other venues at 16.5% following back-to-back May visits by both leaders to Beijing, highlighting its role as a diplomatic venue amid broader great-power engagement. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, or Gulf locations reflect the absence of confirmed invitations or procedural momentum, while historical patterns of summit timing underscore the influence of unresolved conflicts on scheduling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde se reunirán Trump y Putin en 2026?
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 58%
China 17%
Russia 7%
United States 7%
$29,693 Vol.
$29,693 Vol.

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
58%

China
17%

Russia
7%

United States
7%

Gulf country
5%

Other
2%

Belarus
2%

Turkey
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other EU country
1%

Finland
1%

South Korea
1%

Australia
1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 58%
China 17%
Russia 7%
United States 7%
$29,693 Vol.
$29,693 Vol.

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
58%

China
17%

Russia
7%

United States
7%

Gulf country
5%

Other
2%

Belarus
2%

Turkey
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other EU country
1%

Finland
1%

South Korea
1%

Australia
1%

Ukraine
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments have reinforced trader expectations of no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end, with plans for a Budapest summit shelved in early June amid stalled Ukraine talks and shifting U.S. priorities. Ongoing envoy-level contacts, including discussions of economic projects, have not produced a scheduled bilateral encounter, consistent with the 57.5% implied probability for no meeting. China leads other venues at 16.5% following back-to-back May visits by both leaders to Beijing, highlighting its role as a diplomatic venue amid broader great-power engagement. Lower probabilities for Russia, the United States, or Gulf locations reflect the absence of confirmed invitations or procedural momentum, while historical patterns of summit timing underscore the influence of unresolved conflicts on scheduling.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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