South Korea’s May 2026 CPI print of 3.1% year-over-year, exceeding forecasts and marking a two-year high amid elevated oil prices, has shifted trader expectations toward a Bank of Korea rate increase at the July 16 meeting. The central bank’s May policy statement and updated projections—lifting 2026 GDP growth to 2.6% and inflation to 2.7%—reinforced a hawkish pivot under Governor Shin Hyun-song, with two board members dissenting in favor of an immediate hike. Strong semiconductor-driven exports and a firmer growth outlook have reduced the case for further easing, pushing market-implied odds for a 25-basis-point increase to 72% while leaving only a 25.5% probability on hold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Aumento 72%
Sin cambios 26%
Disminuir <1%
$36,084 Vol.
$36,084 Vol.
16 jul 2026
Disminuir
<1%
Sin cambios
26%
Aumento
72%
Aumento 72%
Sin cambios 26%
Disminuir <1%
$36,084 Vol.
$36,084 Vol.
16 jul 2026
Disminuir
$15,211 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambios
$10,733 Vol.
26%
Aumento
$10,141 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.South Korea’s May 2026 CPI print of 3.1% year-over-year, exceeding forecasts and marking a two-year high amid elevated oil prices, has shifted trader expectations toward a Bank of Korea rate increase at the July 16 meeting. The central bank’s May policy statement and updated projections—lifting 2026 GDP growth to 2.6% and inflation to 2.7%—reinforced a hawkish pivot under Governor Shin Hyun-song, with two board members dissenting in favor of an immediate hike. Strong semiconductor-driven exports and a firmer growth outlook have reduced the case for further easing, pushing market-implied odds for a 25-basis-point increase to 72% while leaving only a 25.5% probability on hold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volumen
$36,084Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.South Korea’s May 2026 CPI print of 3.1% year-over-year, exceeding forecasts and marking a two-year high amid elevated oil prices, has shifted trader expectations toward a Bank of Korea rate increase at the July 16 meeting. The central bank’s May policy statement and updated projections—lifting 2026 GDP growth to 2.6% and inflation to 2.7%—reinforced a hawkish pivot under Governor Shin Hyun-song, with two board members dissenting in favor of an immediate hike. Strong semiconductor-driven exports and a firmer growth outlook have reduced the case for further easing, pushing market-implied odds for a 25-basis-point increase to 72% while leaving only a 25.5% probability on hold.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$36,084Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...South Korea’s May 2026 CPI print of 3.1% year-over-year, exceeding forecasts and marking a two-year high amid elevated oil prices, has shifted trader expectations toward a Bank of Korea rate increase at the July 16 meeting. The central bank’s May policy statement and updated projections—lifting 2026 GDP growth to 2.6% and inflation to 2.7%—reinforced a hawkish pivot under Governor Shin Hyun-song, with two board members dissenting in favor of an immediate hike. Strong semiconductor-driven exports and a firmer growth outlook have reduced the case for further easing, pushing market-implied odds for a 25-basis-point increase to 72% while leaving only a 25.5% probability on hold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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