The Bank of Japan’s June 15-16 meeting carries a near-certain 25 basis point hike in the policy rate to 1.0 percent, the highest level since 1995, as persistent inflation pressures and yen weakness outweigh growth concerns. Recent Reuters economist surveys show 94 percent expecting the move, aligning with Governor Ueda’s communications and the shift from the 0.75 percent level maintained since the December 2025 adjustment. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, pricing in continued normalization amid upside inflation risks rather than downside economic hazards. A sharply lower-than-expected inflation print or abrupt yen appreciation ahead of the decision could still introduce last-minute uncertainty, though current data trajectories and official guidance make such reversals improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAumento de 25 puntos básicos 99.3%
Sin cambios <1%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Reducir tasas <1%
$584,621 Vol.
$584,621 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Reducir tasas
<1%
Sin cambios
1%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
99%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
<1%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 99.3%
Sin cambios <1%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
Reducir tasas <1%
$584,621 Vol.
$584,621 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Reducir tasas
$92,333 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambios
$145,626 Vol.
1%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
$145,308 Vol.
99%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
$201,354 Vol.
<1%
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s June 15-16 meeting carries a near-certain 25 basis point hike in the policy rate to 1.0 percent, the highest level since 1995, as persistent inflation pressures and yen weakness outweigh growth concerns. Recent Reuters economist surveys show 94 percent expecting the move, aligning with Governor Ueda’s communications and the shift from the 0.75 percent level maintained since the December 2025 adjustment. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, pricing in continued normalization amid upside inflation risks rather than downside economic hazards. A sharply lower-than-expected inflation print or abrupt yen appreciation ahead of the decision could still introduce last-minute uncertainty, though current data trajectories and official guidance make such reversals improbable.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Volumen
$584,621Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Japan’s June 15-16 meeting carries a near-certain 25 basis point hike in the policy rate to 1.0 percent, the highest level since 1995, as persistent inflation pressures and yen weakness outweigh growth concerns. Recent Reuters economist surveys show 94 percent expecting the move, aligning with Governor Ueda’s communications and the shift from the 0.75 percent level maintained since the December 2025 adjustment. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, pricing in continued normalization amid upside inflation risks rather than downside economic hazards. A sharply lower-than-expected inflation print or abrupt yen appreciation ahead of the decision could still introduce last-minute uncertainty, though current data trajectories and official guidance make such reversals improbable.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for June is scheduled to be released on June 16, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's June 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$584,621Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Japan’s June 15-16 meeting carries a near-certain 25 basis point hike in the policy rate to 1.0 percent, the highest level since 1995, as persistent inflation pressures and yen weakness outweigh growth concerns. Recent Reuters economist surveys show 94 percent expecting the move, aligning with Governor Ueda’s communications and the shift from the 0.75 percent level maintained since the December 2025 adjustment. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, pricing in continued normalization amid upside inflation risks rather than downside economic hazards. A sharply lower-than-expected inflation print or abrupt yen appreciation ahead of the decision could still introduce last-minute uncertainty, though current data trajectories and official guidance make such reversals improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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