National Weather Service forecasts indicate a low of 66°F overnight into June 15 for New York City, with showers tapering and northwest winds promoting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies afterward. This aligns closely with the market's leading 66-67°F bin, reflecting typical mid-June climatology where average lows range 62-67°F amid moderating Atlantic air masses. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with minimal risk of deeper cooling from clearer or drier conditions that could push readings into the low 60s. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance heavily, as short-term resolution hinges on LaGuardia Airport observations, with any forecast revisions from incoming data potentially shifting implied probabilities around the central range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de junio?
66-67°F 42%
68-69°F 16%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 7%
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
42%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F o más
1%
66-67°F 42%
68-69°F 16%
64-65°F 14%
70-71°F 7%
55°F o menos
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
42%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
1%
74°F o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a low of 66°F overnight into June 15 for New York City, with showers tapering and northwest winds promoting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies afterward. This aligns closely with the market's leading 66-67°F bin, reflecting typical mid-June climatology where average lows range 62-67°F amid moderating Atlantic air masses. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with minimal risk of deeper cooling from clearer or drier conditions that could push readings into the low 60s. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance heavily, as short-term resolution hinges on LaGuardia Airport observations, with any forecast revisions from incoming data potentially shifting implied probabilities around the central range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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