Polymarket traders price a 76.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's eighth consecutive 50 basis point cut to 14.5% on April 24 amid stable March 2026 inflation at 5.9% year-over-year and subdued consumer demand. Underlying price pressures remain elevated around 4-5% annualized, prompting a cautious stance that narrowed the 2026 average key rate forecast to 14-14.5%, yet weak GDP growth projections of 0.5-1.5% sustain easing expectations. No-change odds at 22% capture potential pause risks from persistent inflation, while hikes at 2.1% appear negligible given the disinflation trajectory; upcoming May CPI data could sway sentiment ahead of the FOMC-aligned policy review.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en junio?
Decrease 76%
No Change 22%
Increase 2.1%
$50,711 Vol.
$50,711 Vol.
19 jun 2026
Decrease
76%
No Change
22%
Increase
2%
Decrease 76%
No Change 22%
Increase 2.1%
$50,711 Vol.
$50,711 Vol.
19 jun 2026
Decrease
$20,122 Vol.
76%
No Change
$11,640 Vol.
22%
Increase
$18,962 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 76.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's eighth consecutive 50 basis point cut to 14.5% on April 24 amid stable March 2026 inflation at 5.9% year-over-year and subdued consumer demand. Underlying price pressures remain elevated around 4-5% annualized, prompting a cautious stance that narrowed the 2026 average key rate forecast to 14-14.5%, yet weak GDP growth projections of 0.5-1.5% sustain easing expectations. No-change odds at 22% capture potential pause risks from persistent inflation, while hikes at 2.1% appear negligible given the disinflation trajectory; upcoming May CPI data could sway sentiment ahead of the FOMC-aligned policy review.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volumen
$50,711Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 76.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's eighth consecutive 50 basis point cut to 14.5% on April 24 amid stable March 2026 inflation at 5.9% year-over-year and subdued consumer demand. Underlying price pressures remain elevated around 4-5% annualized, prompting a cautious stance that narrowed the 2026 average key rate forecast to 14-14.5%, yet weak GDP growth projections of 0.5-1.5% sustain easing expectations. No-change odds at 22% capture potential pause risks from persistent inflation, while hikes at 2.1% appear negligible given the disinflation trajectory; upcoming May CPI data could sway sentiment ahead of the FOMC-aligned policy review.
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$50,711Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 76.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the June 19 meeting, reflecting the central bank's eighth consecutive 50 basis point cut to 14.5% on April 24 amid stable March 2026 inflation at 5.9% year-over-year and subdued consumer demand. Underlying price pressures remain elevated around 4-5% annualized, prompting a cautious stance that narrowed the 2026 average key rate forecast to 14-14.5%, yet weak GDP growth projections of 0.5-1.5% sustain easing expectations. No-change odds at 22% capture potential pause risks from persistent inflation, while hikes at 2.1% appear negligible given the disinflation trajectory; upcoming May CPI data could sway sentiment ahead of the FOMC-aligned policy review.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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