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Israel X Iran predictions & odds

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Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

3%

$12M Vol.

$739K today

$474K Liq.

1

Ends in 30 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

52%

Pakistan

$3M Vol.

$159K today

$264K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

4%

Bahrain

$5M Vol.

$74.8K today

$81.3K Liq.

1

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

9%

June 30

$401K Vol.

$87.7K Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

<1%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

131

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

<1%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

299

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

12%

May 31

$801K Vol.

$24.6K Liq.

45

Ends in 30 days

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

100%

2

$164K Vol.

$461K Liq.

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

<1%

Ras Laffan Industrial City

$557K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

59%

$7.9K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 30 days

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

4%

April 30

$64.9K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

14%

May 31

$389K Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

11

Ends in 30 days

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

<1%

April 30

$77.1K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

44%

$510K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

125

Ends in about 2 months

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

<1%

April 30

$198K Vol.

$261K Liq.

3

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

7%

May 31

$102K Vol.

$44.0K Liq.

17

Ends in 30 days

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

23%

$144K Vol.

$23.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

44%

$28.4K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

13%

$47.5K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

32%

$14.6K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel X Iran.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Israel X Iran that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $27.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran military action against ___ by April 30?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 97% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel X Iran predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.