Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a maximum of 19°C in Paris on June 5 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds, positioning this outcome as the near-term favorite while keeping 20°C competitive. These values sit below the early-June climatological average of roughly 22–23°C, reflecting a cooler air mass and limited solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread around the 19–20°C range, with low risk of significant afternoon warming or cooling. Traders are weighing the latest observational trends and afternoon updates against historical variability in Parisian June maxima, where temperatures near these thresholds occur frequently during transitional spring-to-summer patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on June 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 5?
20°C 48%
19°C 37%
21°C 16%
18°C 3.4%
$36,696 Vol.
$36,696 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
37%
20°C
48%
21°C
16%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 48%
19°C 37%
21°C 16%
18°C 3.4%
$36,696 Vol.
$36,696 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
16°C or below
$1,987 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,728 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$6,871 Vol.
3%
19°C
$5,021 Vol.
37%
20°C
$4,385 Vol.
48%
21°C
$5,523 Vol.
16%
22°C
$4,971 Vol.
1%
23°C
$3,949 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$398 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a maximum of 19°C in Paris on June 5 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds, positioning this outcome as the near-term favorite while keeping 20°C competitive. These values sit below the early-June climatological average of roughly 22–23°C, reflecting a cooler air mass and limited solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread around the 19–20°C range, with low risk of significant afternoon warming or cooling. Traders are weighing the latest observational trends and afternoon updates against historical variability in Parisian June maxima, where temperatures near these thresholds occur frequently during transitional spring-to-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$36,696End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a maximum of 19°C in Paris on June 5 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds, positioning this outcome as the near-term favorite while keeping 20°C competitive. These values sit below the early-June climatological average of roughly 22–23°C, reflecting a cooler air mass and limited solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread around the 19–20°C range, with low risk of significant afternoon warming or cooling. Traders are weighing the latest observational trends and afternoon updates against historical variability in Parisian June maxima, where temperatures near these thresholds occur frequently during transitional spring-to-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,696End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate a maximum of 19°C in Paris on June 5 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and southwesterly winds, positioning this outcome as the near-term favorite while keeping 20°C competitive. These values sit below the early-June climatological average of roughly 22–23°C, reflecting a cooler air mass and limited solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread around the 19–20°C range, with low risk of significant afternoon warming or cooling. Traders are weighing the latest observational trends and afternoon updates against historical variability in Parisian June maxima, where temperatures near these thresholds occur frequently during transitional spring-to-summer patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions