Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington Central project a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 3 under fine conditions with light northerlies, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and enhances daytime solar heating after recent cloudy periods. This aligns with trader sentiment implying 45% odds for 16°C, 31% for 15°C, and 21% for 17°C, as mild northerly airflow—moderating from stronger gusts earlier this week—advecs warmer maritime air amid autumnal climatology where May highs average 14–15°C. Ensemble model consensus shows low uncertainty with temperatures clustering in the 15–17°C range, though minor variations in boundary layer mixing or insolation could tip the peak; updated guidance expected overnight from MetService and global models like ECMWF.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on May 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 3?
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 21%
14°C 3.1%
NEW
$10,739 Vol.
NEW
$10,739 Vol.
May 3, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
31%
16°C
45%
17°C
21%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 45%
15°C 31%
17°C 21%
14°C 3.1%
NEW
$10,739 Vol.
NEW
$10,739 Vol.
May 3, 2026
9°C or below
$2,218 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,099 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$624 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$506 Vol.
1%
14°C
$960 Vol.
3%
15°C
$1,494 Vol.
31%
16°C
$1,070 Vol.
45%
17°C
$660 Vol.
21%
18°C
$1,151 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$514 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington Central project a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 3 under fine conditions with light northerlies, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and enhances daytime solar heating after recent cloudy periods. This aligns with trader sentiment implying 45% odds for 16°C, 31% for 15°C, and 21% for 17°C, as mild northerly airflow—moderating from stronger gusts earlier this week—advecs warmer maritime air amid autumnal climatology where May highs average 14–15°C. Ensemble model consensus shows low uncertainty with temperatures clustering in the 15–17°C range, though minor variations in boundary layer mixing or insolation could tip the peak; updated guidance expected overnight from MetService and global models like ECMWF.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$10,739End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington Central project a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 3 under fine conditions with light northerlies, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and enhances daytime solar heating after recent cloudy periods. This aligns with trader sentiment implying 45% odds for 16°C, 31% for 15°C, and 21% for 17°C, as mild northerly airflow—moderating from stronger gusts earlier this week—advecs warmer maritime air amid autumnal climatology where May highs average 14–15°C. Ensemble model consensus shows low uncertainty with temperatures clustering in the 15–17°C range, though minor variations in boundary layer mixing or insolation could tip the peak; updated guidance expected overnight from MetService and global models like ECMWF.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,739End Date
May 3, 2026Market Opened
May 1, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService forecasts for Wellington Central project a maximum temperature of 15°C on May 3 under fine conditions with light northerlies, reflecting a persistent high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and enhances daytime solar heating after recent cloudy periods. This aligns with trader sentiment implying 45% odds for 16°C, 31% for 15°C, and 21% for 17°C, as mild northerly airflow—moderating from stronger gusts earlier this week—advecs warmer maritime air amid autumnal climatology where May highs average 14–15°C. Ensemble model consensus shows low uncertainty with temperatures clustering in the 15–17°C range, though minor variations in boundary layer mixing or insolation could tip the peak; updated guidance expected overnight from MetService and global models like ECMWF.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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