Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a Seoul daytime high of 25–28°C on June 6 under mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow, consistent with the early-summer warming trend and climatological averages near 26–28°C for the date. This narrow consensus range underpins the 83% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect limited downside risk from unexpected cloud cover or brief showers. Short-range guidance shows minimal model spread, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded between 9 a.m. and evening observation. Updated KMA briefings ahead of the date could refine the final distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on June 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 6?
25°C or higher 85%
24°C 15%
23°C 1.5%
20°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
15%
25°C or higher
85%
25°C or higher 85%
24°C 15%
23°C 1.5%
20°C 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
15°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$538 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$431 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,459 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$985 Vol.
1%
21°C
$545 Vol.
1%
22°C
$953 Vol.
1%
23°C
$447 Vol.
2%
24°C
$616 Vol.
15%
25°C or higher
$738 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a Seoul daytime high of 25–28°C on June 6 under mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow, consistent with the early-summer warming trend and climatological averages near 26–28°C for the date. This narrow consensus range underpins the 83% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect limited downside risk from unexpected cloud cover or brief showers. Short-range guidance shows minimal model spread, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded between 9 a.m. and evening observation. Updated KMA briefings ahead of the date could refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,961End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a Seoul daytime high of 25–28°C on June 6 under mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow, consistent with the early-summer warming trend and climatological averages near 26–28°C for the date. This narrow consensus range underpins the 83% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect limited downside risk from unexpected cloud cover or brief showers. Short-range guidance shows minimal model spread, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded between 9 a.m. and evening observation. Updated KMA briefings ahead of the date could refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,961End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a Seoul daytime high of 25–28°C on June 6 under mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow, consistent with the early-summer warming trend and climatological averages near 26–28°C for the date. This narrow consensus range underpins the 83% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher, while lower outcomes reflect limited downside risk from unexpected cloud cover or brief showers. Short-range guidance shows minimal model spread, with resolution depending on the official maximum recorded between 9 a.m. and evening observation. Updated KMA briefings ahead of the date could refine the final distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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