Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime high of 19°C for Seoul on May 8 under clear skies, with hourly data from Gimpo Airport showing peaks of 19°C midday before easing to 17°C by evening, driving trader consensus toward closely matched 17–20°C outcomes at over 85% implied probability. This positioning reflects recent model consensus from KMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs capturing mild spring conditions with a weak high-pressure ridge aloft limiting warming, following cooler-than-average early May trends amid neutral ENSO influences. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness or southerly sea breezes, which could suppress peaks toward 17–18°C or allow slight intensification to 20°C; 12Z forecast updates on May 7 will clarify model spread as resolution nears. Climatological May 8 highs average 21°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on May 8?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 8?
19°C 30%
20°C 29%
21°C 22%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
13%
19°C
30%
20°C
29%
21°C
22%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
4%
19°C 30%
20°C 29%
21°C 22%
18°C 13%
NEW
NEW
May 8, 2026
13°C or below
$723 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,311 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$655 Vol.
1%
16°C
$242 Vol.
2%
17°C
$302 Vol.
5%
18°C
$119 Vol.
13%
19°C
$277 Vol.
30%
20°C
$413 Vol.
29%
21°C
$201 Vol.
22%
22°C
$135 Vol.
4%
23°C or higher
$353 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime high of 19°C for Seoul on May 8 under clear skies, with hourly data from Gimpo Airport showing peaks of 19°C midday before easing to 17°C by evening, driving trader consensus toward closely matched 17–20°C outcomes at over 85% implied probability. This positioning reflects recent model consensus from KMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs capturing mild spring conditions with a weak high-pressure ridge aloft limiting warming, following cooler-than-average early May trends amid neutral ENSO influences. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness or southerly sea breezes, which could suppress peaks toward 17–18°C or allow slight intensification to 20°C; 12Z forecast updates on May 7 will clarify model spread as resolution nears. Climatological May 8 highs average 21°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$4,732End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime high of 19°C for Seoul on May 8 under clear skies, with hourly data from Gimpo Airport showing peaks of 19°C midday before easing to 17°C by evening, driving trader consensus toward closely matched 17–20°C outcomes at over 85% implied probability. This positioning reflects recent model consensus from KMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs capturing mild spring conditions with a weak high-pressure ridge aloft limiting warming, following cooler-than-average early May trends amid neutral ENSO influences. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness or southerly sea breezes, which could suppress peaks toward 17–18°C or allow slight intensification to 20°C; 12Z forecast updates on May 7 will clarify model spread as resolution nears. Climatological May 8 highs average 21°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$4,732End Date
May 8, 2026Market Opened
May 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daytime high of 19°C for Seoul on May 8 under clear skies, with hourly data from Gimpo Airport showing peaks of 19°C midday before easing to 17°C by evening, driving trader consensus toward closely matched 17–20°C outcomes at over 85% implied probability. This positioning reflects recent model consensus from KMA, GFS, and ECMWF runs capturing mild spring conditions with a weak high-pressure ridge aloft limiting warming, following cooler-than-average early May trends amid neutral ENSO influences. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloudiness or southerly sea breezes, which could suppress peaks toward 17–18°C or allow slight intensification to 20°C; 12Z forecast updates on May 7 will clarify model spread as resolution nears. Climatological May 8 highs average 21°C, underscoring inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and insolation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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