Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Busan's midday temperatures peaked at 22°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and 45–55% humidity, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this daily high. Short-range forecast models from KMA, including hourly projections showing 22°C at 12:00 and 23°C possible at 15:00 before dropping to 21°C by 18:00, align with early May climatology—historical highs averaging 20–22°C amid typical marine layer influences limiting further intensification. While inherent model uncertainty exists, realistic challenges would require prolonged sunshine past peak heating or sudden wind shifts boosting insolation, both unlikely per current upper-air data; final daily observations from KMA will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 6?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$64,928 Vol.
$64,928 Vol.
May 6, 2026
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$64,928 Vol.
$64,928 Vol.
May 6, 2026
22°C
$8,395 Vol.
100%
23°C
$17,489 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$16,623 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$4,296 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Busan's midday temperatures peaked at 22°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and 45–55% humidity, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this daily high. Short-range forecast models from KMA, including hourly projections showing 22°C at 12:00 and 23°C possible at 15:00 before dropping to 21°C by 18:00, align with early May climatology—historical highs averaging 20–22°C amid typical marine layer influences limiting further intensification. While inherent model uncertainty exists, realistic challenges would require prolonged sunshine past peak heating or sudden wind shifts boosting insolation, both unlikely per current upper-air data; final daily observations from KMA will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$64,928End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Busan's midday temperatures peaked at 22°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and 45–55% humidity, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this daily high. Short-range forecast models from KMA, including hourly projections showing 22°C at 12:00 and 23°C possible at 15:00 before dropping to 21°C by 18:00, align with early May climatology—historical highs averaging 20–22°C amid typical marine layer influences limiting further intensification. While inherent model uncertainty exists, realistic challenges would require prolonged sunshine past peak heating or sudden wind shifts boosting insolation, both unlikely per current upper-air data; final daily observations from KMA will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,928End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Busan's midday temperatures peaked at 22°C under clear skies, light southwest winds, and 45–55% humidity, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this daily high. Short-range forecast models from KMA, including hourly projections showing 22°C at 12:00 and 23°C possible at 15:00 before dropping to 21°C by 18:00, align with early May climatology—historical highs averaging 20–22°C amid typical marine layer influences limiting further intensification. While inherent model uncertainty exists, realistic challenges would require prolonged sunshine past peak heating or sudden wind shifts boosting insolation, both unlikely per current upper-air data; final daily observations from KMA will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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