Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 6, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast update confirming this peak at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport alongside real-time observations showing midday readings already at 31°C (88°F) under mostly cloudy conditions. Global models including GFS and ECMWF exhibit strong agreement on a low-32°C maximum, building on early May's warming pattern after May 4's verified 28°C high amid high-pressure ridging overriding typical 28°C monthly averages. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists—such as sudden convective showers or northerly gusts introducing cooler air—afternoon trajectories and minimal model divergence make deviations to 33°C or below highly improbable before end-of-day resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 6?
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$93,128 Vol.
$93,128 Vol.
May 6, 2026
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$93,128 Vol.
$93,128 Vol.
May 6, 2026
32°C
$9,862 Vol.
100%
33°C
$8,087 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,555 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$5,820 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,341 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$5,483 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 6, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast update confirming this peak at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport alongside real-time observations showing midday readings already at 31°C (88°F) under mostly cloudy conditions. Global models including GFS and ECMWF exhibit strong agreement on a low-32°C maximum, building on early May's warming pattern after May 4's verified 28°C high amid high-pressure ridging overriding typical 28°C monthly averages. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists—such as sudden convective showers or northerly gusts introducing cooler air—afternoon trajectories and minimal model divergence make deviations to 33°C or below highly improbable before end-of-day resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$93,128End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 6, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast update confirming this peak at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport alongside real-time observations showing midday readings already at 31°C (88°F) under mostly cloudy conditions. Global models including GFS and ECMWF exhibit strong agreement on a low-32°C maximum, building on early May's warming pattern after May 4's verified 28°C high amid high-pressure ridging overriding typical 28°C monthly averages. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists—such as sudden convective showers or northerly gusts introducing cooler air—afternoon trajectories and minimal model divergence make deviations to 33°C or below highly improbable before end-of-day resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$93,128End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on May 6, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's morning forecast update confirming this peak at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport alongside real-time observations showing midday readings already at 31°C (88°F) under mostly cloudy conditions. Global models including GFS and ECMWF exhibit strong agreement on a low-32°C maximum, building on early May's warming pattern after May 4's verified 28°C high amid high-pressure ridging overriding typical 28°C monthly averages. While inherent forecast uncertainty persists—such as sudden convective showers or northerly gusts introducing cooler air—afternoon trajectories and minimal model divergence make deviations to 33°C or below highly improbable before end-of-day resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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