Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have driven trader consensus to 100% on Seoul's highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher on May 6, 2026, with midday readings at central stations confirming 22°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure system. Light southerly winds and low humidity have supported daytime heating consistent with early May climatology, where average highs hover around 22°C amid spring warming trends. Model forecasts from KMA aligned with this, projecting peaks of 20–23°C. Scenarios challenging this would require anomalous data revisions or undetected instrument errors in final end-of-day KMA reports, though such events are exceedingly rare given multiple station verifications. Traders await official daily maximum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on May 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 6?
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$155,305 Vol.
$155,305 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
21°C or higher 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$155,305 Vol.
$155,305 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations have driven trader consensus to 100% on Seoul's highest temperature reaching 21°C or higher on May 6, 2026, with midday readings at central stations confirming 22°C under persistent clear skies and a stable high-pressure system. Light southerly winds and low humidity have supported daytime heating consistent with early May climatology, where average highs hover around 22°C amid spring warming trends. Model forecasts from KMA aligned with this, projecting peaks of 20–23°C. Scenarios challenging this would require anomalous data revisions or undetected instrument errors in final end-of-day KMA reports, though such events are exceedingly rare given multiple station verifications. Traders await official daily maximum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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