Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high near 31°C at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 7, fueling closely matched market-implied odds for 29–32°C outcomes as traders weigh convective uncertainties in the early wet season. High relative humidity around 80% and light winds enhance sea breeze convergence, promoting afternoon cumulus clouds and thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap peak temperatures, though clearer intervals could push toward 32°C or higher as seen on May 1 (33°C). Recent days show variability with 30°C on May 2 amid showers, aligning with May climatology averaging 31°C highs. Updated 12Z model runs and local observations tonight will clarify thunderstorm probabilities, potentially shifting the balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 7?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 7?
32°C or higher 77%
31°C 21%
30°C 3.3%
29°C <1%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
77%
32°C or higher 77%
31°C 21%
30°C 3.3%
29°C <1%
NEW
NEW
May 7, 2026
22°C or below
$589 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$470 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$468 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$387 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$996 Vol.
1%
30°C
$646 Vol.
3%
31°C
$520 Vol.
21%
32°C or higher
$1,076 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high near 31°C at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 7, fueling closely matched market-implied odds for 29–32°C outcomes as traders weigh convective uncertainties in the early wet season. High relative humidity around 80% and light winds enhance sea breeze convergence, promoting afternoon cumulus clouds and thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap peak temperatures, though clearer intervals could push toward 32°C or higher as seen on May 1 (33°C). Recent days show variability with 30°C on May 2 amid showers, aligning with May climatology averaging 31°C highs. Updated 12Z model runs and local observations tonight will clarify thunderstorm probabilities, potentially shifting the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$6,390End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high near 31°C at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 7, fueling closely matched market-implied odds for 29–32°C outcomes as traders weigh convective uncertainties in the early wet season. High relative humidity around 80% and light winds enhance sea breeze convergence, promoting afternoon cumulus clouds and thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap peak temperatures, though clearer intervals could push toward 32°C or higher as seen on May 1 (33°C). Recent days show variability with 30°C on May 2 amid showers, aligning with May climatology averaging 31°C highs. Updated 12Z model runs and local observations tonight will clarify thunderstorm probabilities, potentially shifting the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,390End Date
May 7, 2026Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high near 31°C at Panama City's Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport on May 7, fueling closely matched market-implied odds for 29–32°C outcomes as traders weigh convective uncertainties in the early wet season. High relative humidity around 80% and light winds enhance sea breeze convergence, promoting afternoon cumulus clouds and thunderstorms that reduce insolation and cap peak temperatures, though clearer intervals could push toward 32°C or higher as seen on May 1 (33°C). Recent days show variability with 30°C on May 2 amid showers, aligning with May climatology averaging 31°C highs. Updated 12Z model runs and local observations tonight will clarify thunderstorm probabilities, potentially shifting the balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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