Trader consensus favors a high of 31°C at 34% implied probability for Panama City on May 6, closely trailed by 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting high uncertainty from variable convective activity during the early wet season transition. Recent days featured highs exceeding 33°C on May 1 followed by 30°C on May 2, but latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com project 30–32°C amid 30–50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and rain, or allow hotter if convection delays. Persistent high humidity near 80% and light winds favor sea breeze convergence, with historical May averages at 31°C providing baseline; key variables include timing of showers and insolation duration. Updated model ensembles expected by May 5 could sharpen odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on May 6?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 6?
32°C 45%
31°C 28%
33°C 27%
34°C 1.3%
$16,449 Vol.
$16,449 Vol.
May 6, 2026
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
28%
32°C
45%
33°C
27%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 45%
31°C 28%
33°C 27%
34°C 1.3%
$16,449 Vol.
$16,449 Vol.
May 6, 2026
27°C
$986 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,996 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,724 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,107 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,352 Vol.
28%
32°C
$690 Vol.
45%
33°C
$704 Vol.
27%
34°C
$879 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$426 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 31°C at 34% implied probability for Panama City on May 6, closely trailed by 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting high uncertainty from variable convective activity during the early wet season transition. Recent days featured highs exceeding 33°C on May 1 followed by 30°C on May 2, but latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com project 30–32°C amid 30–50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and rain, or allow hotter if convection delays. Persistent high humidity near 80% and light winds favor sea breeze convergence, with historical May averages at 31°C providing baseline; key variables include timing of showers and insolation duration. Updated model ensembles expected by May 5 could sharpen odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
Volume
$16,449End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 31°C at 34% implied probability for Panama City on May 6, closely trailed by 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting high uncertainty from variable convective activity during the early wet season transition. Recent days featured highs exceeding 33°C on May 1 followed by 30°C on May 2, but latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com project 30–32°C amid 30–50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and rain, or allow hotter if convection delays. Persistent high humidity near 80% and light winds favor sea breeze convergence, with historical May averages at 31°C providing baseline; key variables include timing of showers and insolation duration. Updated model ensembles expected by May 5 could sharpen odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,449End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus favors a high of 31°C at 34% implied probability for Panama City on May 6, closely trailed by 30–32°C outcomes, reflecting high uncertainty from variable convective activity during the early wet season transition. Recent days featured highs exceeding 33°C on May 1 followed by 30°C on May 2, but latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com project 30–32°C amid 30–50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could suppress peaks via cloud cover and rain, or allow hotter if convection delays. Persistent high humidity near 80% and light winds favor sea breeze convergence, with historical May averages at 31°C providing baseline; key variables include timing of showers and insolation duration. Updated model ensembles expected by May 5 could sharpen odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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