Forecast models from Mexican meteorological agencies project a daytime high near Mexico City’s June climatological average of 24–25 °C on June 11, supported by typical subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon showers at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor differences between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes hinge on precise cloud-cover timing, urban heat-island intensity, and whether precipitation arrives before or after peak heating. Recent ENSO monitoring notes an emerging El Niño pattern that may subtly elevate baseline temperatures, yet short-range guidance shows no major deviations from seasonal norms. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with resolution depending on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 11?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 11?
24°C 32%
25°C 26%
23°C 11%
26°C 7.2%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
32%
25°C
26%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 32%
25°C 26%
23°C 11%
26°C 7.2%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
19°C or below
$101 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
1%
22°C
$57 Vol.
4%
23°C
$99 Vol.
11%
24°C
$82 Vol.
32%
25°C
$125 Vol.
26%
26°C
$15 Vol.
7%
27°C
$30 Vol.
4%
28°C
$51 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$125 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Mexican meteorological agencies project a daytime high near Mexico City’s June climatological average of 24–25 °C on June 11, supported by typical subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon showers at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor differences between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes hinge on precise cloud-cover timing, urban heat-island intensity, and whether precipitation arrives before or after peak heating. Recent ENSO monitoring notes an emerging El Niño pattern that may subtly elevate baseline temperatures, yet short-range guidance shows no major deviations from seasonal norms. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with resolution depending on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$715End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Mexican meteorological agencies project a daytime high near Mexico City’s June climatological average of 24–25 °C on June 11, supported by typical subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon showers at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor differences between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes hinge on precise cloud-cover timing, urban heat-island intensity, and whether precipitation arrives before or after peak heating. Recent ENSO monitoring notes an emerging El Niño pattern that may subtly elevate baseline temperatures, yet short-range guidance shows no major deviations from seasonal norms. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with resolution depending on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$715End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Mexican meteorological agencies project a daytime high near Mexico City’s June climatological average of 24–25 °C on June 11, supported by typical subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and scattered afternoon showers at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Minor differences between 24 °C and 25 °C outcomes hinge on precise cloud-cover timing, urban heat-island intensity, and whether precipitation arrives before or after peak heating. Recent ENSO monitoring notes an emerging El Niño pattern that may subtly elevate baseline temperatures, yet short-range guidance shows no major deviations from seasonal norms. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with resolution depending on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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