Official forecasts place Mexico City’s maximum temperature for June 10 near the seasonal average of 24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 33 % probability on that outcome. Early June marks the onset of the rainy season, when daytime heating frequently triggers convective showers that limit peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus and recent runs show modest spread between 23 °C and 25 °C depending on the timing and coverage of afternoon precipitation, while historical climatology indicates rare excursions above 26 °C or below 22 °C this time of year. Updated guidance from national meteorological services tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 10?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 10?
24°C 34%
25°C 25%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
17%
24°C
34%
25°C
25%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
25°C 25%
23°C 17%
26°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
20°C or below
$746 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,357 Vol.
1%
22°C
$450 Vol.
2%
23°C
$87 Vol.
17%
24°C
$67 Vol.
34%
25°C
$220 Vol.
25%
26°C
$28 Vol.
14%
27°C
$358 Vol.
3%
28°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts place Mexico City’s maximum temperature for June 10 near the seasonal average of 24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 33 % probability on that outcome. Early June marks the onset of the rainy season, when daytime heating frequently triggers convective showers that limit peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus and recent runs show modest spread between 23 °C and 25 °C depending on the timing and coverage of afternoon precipitation, while historical climatology indicates rare excursions above 26 °C or below 22 °C this time of year. Updated guidance from national meteorological services tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ET
Volume
$3,575End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts place Mexico City’s maximum temperature for June 10 near the seasonal average of 24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 33 % probability on that outcome. Early June marks the onset of the rainy season, when daytime heating frequently triggers convective showers that limit peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus and recent runs show modest spread between 23 °C and 25 °C depending on the timing and coverage of afternoon precipitation, while historical climatology indicates rare excursions above 26 °C or below 22 °C this time of year. Updated guidance from national meteorological services tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,575End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:14 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts place Mexico City’s maximum temperature for June 10 near the seasonal average of 24 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 33 % probability on that outcome. Early June marks the onset of the rainy season, when daytime heating frequently triggers convective showers that limit peak temperatures through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Model consensus and recent runs show modest spread between 23 °C and 25 °C depending on the timing and coverage of afternoon precipitation, while historical climatology indicates rare excursions above 26 °C or below 22 °C this time of year. Updated guidance from national meteorological services tomorrow morning will provide the final observational data used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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