Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place the overnight low for New York City on June 9 near 64°F, driving the market's 92.3% implied probability on the 64-65°F outcome. Ensemble model consensus supports radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with early June climatology where average lows range 61-64°F at Central Park. This positioning reflects trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions and limited variability in short-range guidance. A shift in steering patterns bringing warmer advection or increased cloud cover could push the minimum higher, while clearer skies or a brief cool surge might allow a dip into the low 60s, though both remain low-probability adjustments at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on June 9?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 9?
64-65°F 92.4%
60-61°F 4%
62-63°F 3.5%
58-59°F 2.0%
NEW
$24,474 Vol.
NEW
$24,474 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
92%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 92.4%
60-61°F 4%
62-63°F 3.5%
58-59°F 2.0%
NEW
$24,474 Vol.
NEW
$24,474 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
49°F or below
$3,531 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$3,709 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$2,690 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$2,970 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,878 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$1,330 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$603 Vol.
4%
64-65°F
$1,677 Vol.
92%
66-67°F
$3,234 Vol.
<1%
68°F or higher
$1,393 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place the overnight low for New York City on June 9 near 64°F, driving the market's 92.3% implied probability on the 64-65°F outcome. Ensemble model consensus supports radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with early June climatology where average lows range 61-64°F at Central Park. This positioning reflects trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions and limited variability in short-range guidance. A shift in steering patterns bringing warmer advection or increased cloud cover could push the minimum higher, while clearer skies or a brief cool surge might allow a dip into the low 60s, though both remain low-probability adjustments at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
Volume
$24,474End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place the overnight low for New York City on June 9 near 64°F, driving the market's 92.3% implied probability on the 64-65°F outcome. Ensemble model consensus supports radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with early June climatology where average lows range 61-64°F at Central Park. This positioning reflects trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions and limited variability in short-range guidance. A shift in steering patterns bringing warmer advection or increased cloud cover could push the minimum higher, while clearer skies or a brief cool surge might allow a dip into the low 60s, though both remain low-probability adjustments at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,474End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 7, 2026, 8:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather place the overnight low for New York City on June 9 near 64°F, driving the market's 92.3% implied probability on the 64-65°F outcome. Ensemble model consensus supports radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds, consistent with early June climatology where average lows range 61-64°F at Central Park. This positioning reflects trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions and limited variability in short-range guidance. A shift in steering patterns bringing warmer advection or increased cloud cover could push the minimum higher, while clearer skies or a brief cool surge might allow a dip into the low 60s, though both remain low-probability adjustments at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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