Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple models indicate a maximum temperature near 38°C in Lucknow on June 5, with partly cloudy skies, possible thundery development, and light showers that typically suppress peak heating. This aligns with the long-term June average high of approximately 38°C and recent observations showing maxima of 38–39°C, slightly below normal. Traders have priced in an 82% implied probability for 38°C or below because sustained high pressure and moisture influx reduce the likelihood of extreme heat, while upper thresholds above 40°C would require clear, dry conditions not currently anticipated. New model runs and afternoon observations will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 5?
38°C or below 82%
39°C 15%
40°C 2.8%
41°C <1%
$18,567 Vol.
$18,567 Vol.
38°C or below
82%
39°C
15%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C or higher
<1%
38°C or below 82%
39°C 15%
40°C 2.8%
41°C <1%
$18,567 Vol.
$18,567 Vol.
38°C or below
82%
39°C
15%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple models indicate a maximum temperature near 38°C in Lucknow on June 5, with partly cloudy skies, possible thundery development, and light showers that typically suppress peak heating. This aligns with the long-term June average high of approximately 38°C and recent observations showing maxima of 38–39°C, slightly below normal. Traders have priced in an 82% implied probability for 38°C or below because sustained high pressure and moisture influx reduce the likelihood of extreme heat, while upper thresholds above 40°C would require clear, dry conditions not currently anticipated. New model runs and afternoon observations will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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