Environment Canada’s latest guidance highlights a persistent upper-level ridge and strong southwesterly flow advecting warm air into southern Ontario, supporting a daytime high near or above 30°C in Toronto on June 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Ensemble models place the maximum within 1–2°C of the 30°C threshold, consistent with the market’s 69% implied probability for 30°C or higher and secondary 22.5% weighting on exactly 29°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, though variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. This setup aligns with broader early-June warming trends across the region amid above-average seasonal temperatures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on June 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on June 5?
30°C or higher 70%
29°C 22%
28°C 8.1%
27°C 1.0%
NUEVO
$11,387 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,387 Vol.
5 jun 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
22%
30°C or higher
70%
30°C or higher 70%
29°C 22%
28°C 8.1%
27°C 1.0%
NUEVO
$11,387 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,387 Vol.
5 jun 2026
20°C or below
$319 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,933 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,732 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,517 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,123 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,001 Vol.
8%
29°C
$1,425 Vol.
22%
30°C or higher
$1,771 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest guidance highlights a persistent upper-level ridge and strong southwesterly flow advecting warm air into southern Ontario, supporting a daytime high near or above 30°C in Toronto on June 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Ensemble models place the maximum within 1–2°C of the 30°C threshold, consistent with the market’s 69% implied probability for 30°C or higher and secondary 22.5% weighting on exactly 29°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, though variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. This setup aligns with broader early-June warming trends across the region amid above-average seasonal temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$11,387Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest guidance highlights a persistent upper-level ridge and strong southwesterly flow advecting warm air into southern Ontario, supporting a daytime high near or above 30°C in Toronto on June 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Ensemble models place the maximum within 1–2°C of the 30°C threshold, consistent with the market’s 69% implied probability for 30°C or higher and secondary 22.5% weighting on exactly 29°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, though variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. This setup aligns with broader early-June warming trends across the region amid above-average seasonal temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,387Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s latest guidance highlights a persistent upper-level ridge and strong southwesterly flow advecting warm air into southern Ontario, supporting a daytime high near or above 30°C in Toronto on June 5 under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Ensemble models place the maximum within 1–2°C of the 30°C threshold, consistent with the market’s 69% implied probability for 30°C or higher and secondary 22.5% weighting on exactly 29°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, though variable afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers could trim the peak by 1–2°C. This setup aligns with broader early-June warming trends across the region amid above-average seasonal temperatures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes