Latest National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Los Angeles International Airport station point to a high near 76–78°F on June 11, shaped by a persistent marine layer that limits daytime heating despite seasonal warming trends. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around the 74–79°F brackets, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Early June climatology shows average highs near 75°F at the coast, with El Niño development providing only modest long-term background warmth that has not yet overridden local onshore flow. Minor model spread on fog clearance timing and wind strength creates the observed uncertainty across adjacent bins, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations at the designated station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 11?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 11?
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 22%
72-73°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 35%
74-75°F 29%
78-79°F 22%
72-73°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
67°F or below
$131 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$35 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$75 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$11 Vol.
29%
76-77°F
$38 Vol.
35%
78-79°F
$93 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$11 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
3%
84-85°F
$121 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Los Angeles International Airport station point to a high near 76–78°F on June 11, shaped by a persistent marine layer that limits daytime heating despite seasonal warming trends. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around the 74–79°F brackets, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Early June climatology shows average highs near 75°F at the coast, with El Niño development providing only modest long-term background warmth that has not yet overridden local onshore flow. Minor model spread on fog clearance timing and wind strength creates the observed uncertainty across adjacent bins, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 9:09 PM ET
Volume
$623End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 9:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Los Angeles International Airport station point to a high near 76–78°F on June 11, shaped by a persistent marine layer that limits daytime heating despite seasonal warming trends. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around the 74–79°F brackets, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Early June climatology shows average highs near 75°F at the coast, with El Niño development providing only modest long-term background warmth that has not yet overridden local onshore flow. Minor model spread on fog clearance timing and wind strength creates the observed uncertainty across adjacent bins, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations at the designated station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$623End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 9:09 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service point forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Los Angeles International Airport station point to a high near 76–78°F on June 11, shaped by a persistent marine layer that limits daytime heating despite seasonal warming trends. This consensus drives the market's tight clustering around the 74–79°F brackets, which together exceed 80% implied probability. Early June climatology shows average highs near 75°F at the coast, with El Niño development providing only modest long-term background warmth that has not yet overridden local onshore flow. Minor model spread on fog clearance timing and wind strength creates the observed uncertainty across adjacent bins, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations at the designated station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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