Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow moderating temperatures across Los Angeles on June 10, keeping the daily maximum near or below 75°F at official reporting stations. This pattern aligns with typical early-June climatology, when coastal stratus and cooler sea-surface temperatures suppress afternoon heating compared with inland areas. Ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential through the day, with any clearing occurring too late to push readings into the upper 70s. Traders have priced this cool bias heavily, assigning 65.5% implied probability to 75°F or below while assigning minimal odds to 78°F or higher, reflecting both the current model consensus and the narrow window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 10?
75°F or below 67%
76-77°F 17%
78-79°F 13%
80-81°F 2.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
75°F or below
67%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
75°F or below 67%
76-77°F 17%
78-79°F 13%
80-81°F 2.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 10, 2026
75°F or below
$368 Vol.
67%
76-77°F
$451 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$280 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$387 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$80 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$193 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$299 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$777 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$346 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$453 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow moderating temperatures across Los Angeles on June 10, keeping the daily maximum near or below 75°F at official reporting stations. This pattern aligns with typical early-June climatology, when coastal stratus and cooler sea-surface temperatures suppress afternoon heating compared with inland areas. Ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential through the day, with any clearing occurring too late to push readings into the upper 70s. Traders have priced this cool bias heavily, assigning 65.5% implied probability to 75°F or below while assigning minimal odds to 78°F or higher, reflecting both the current model consensus and the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 10:08 PM ET
Volume
$3,899End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow moderating temperatures across Los Angeles on June 10, keeping the daily maximum near or below 75°F at official reporting stations. This pattern aligns with typical early-June climatology, when coastal stratus and cooler sea-surface temperatures suppress afternoon heating compared with inland areas. Ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential through the day, with any clearing occurring too late to push readings into the upper 70s. Traders have priced this cool bias heavily, assigning 65.5% implied probability to 75°F or below while assigning minimal odds to 78°F or higher, reflecting both the current model consensus and the narrow window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,899End Date
Jun 10, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to persistent marine layer clouds and onshore flow moderating temperatures across Los Angeles on June 10, keeping the daily maximum near or below 75°F at official reporting stations. This pattern aligns with typical early-June climatology, when coastal stratus and cooler sea-surface temperatures suppress afternoon heating compared with inland areas. Ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential through the day, with any clearing occurring too late to push readings into the upper 70s. Traders have priced this cool bias heavily, assigning 65.5% implied probability to 75°F or below while assigning minimal odds to 78°F or higher, reflecting both the current model consensus and the narrow window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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