Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Dallas indicate a June 11 high temperature most likely in the low-to-mid 90s°F, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 92–97°F outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is promoting subsidence and clear skies that support daytime heating, while modest afternoon moisture and light southeasterly flow introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across adjacent bins. June climatology for north Texas shows average highs near 90°F, so the current setup reflects slightly above-normal conditions driven by recent upper-level ridging. The next model cycles and surface observations will narrow the range, as even modest changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 11?
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 19%
98-99°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 35%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 19%
98-99°F 6%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
35%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model runs for Dallas indicate a June 11 high temperature most likely in the low-to-mid 90s°F, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 92–97°F outcomes. A strengthening high-pressure ridge is promoting subsidence and clear skies that support daytime heating, while modest afternoon moisture and light southeasterly flow introduce uncertainty that spreads probability across adjacent bins. June climatology for north Texas shows average highs near 90°F, so the current setup reflects slightly above-normal conditions driven by recent upper-level ridging. The next model cycles and surface observations will narrow the range, as even modest changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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