National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on June 11 points to a high near 90–93°F under partly cloudy skies and typical early-summer humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins at 40% and 23%. This aligns with June climatology at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport, where the 1991–2020 normal high is 92°F, while recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability from possible scattered afternoon convection. Lower-probability outcomes below 88°F or above 94°F reflect the low chance of stronger cloud cover or an unexpected ridge strengthening that could push readings into the mid-90s. Updated NWS forecast discussions and morning model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on June 11?
Highest temperature in Houston on June 11?
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 4.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
41%
92-93°F
23%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 41%
88-89°F 23%
92-93°F 23%
86-87°F 4.5%
NEW
NEW
Jun 11, 2026
79°F or below
$96 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$106 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$105 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$6 Vol.
23%
90-91°F
$23 Vol.
41%
92-93°F
$183 Vol.
23%
94-95°F
$29 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$231 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on June 11 points to a high near 90–93°F under partly cloudy skies and typical early-summer humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins at 40% and 23%. This aligns with June climatology at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport, where the 1991–2020 normal high is 92°F, while recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability from possible scattered afternoon convection. Lower-probability outcomes below 88°F or above 94°F reflect the low chance of stronger cloud cover or an unexpected ridge strengthening that could push readings into the mid-90s. Updated NWS forecast discussions and morning model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Volume
$770End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on June 11 points to a high near 90–93°F under partly cloudy skies and typical early-summer humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins at 40% and 23%. This aligns with June climatology at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport, where the 1991–2020 normal high is 92°F, while recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability from possible scattered afternoon convection. Lower-probability outcomes below 88°F or above 94°F reflect the low chance of stronger cloud cover or an unexpected ridge strengthening that could push readings into the mid-90s. Updated NWS forecast discussions and morning model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$770End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 9:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Houston on June 11 points to a high near 90–93°F under partly cloudy skies and typical early-summer humidity, keeping the market-implied probability highest for the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins at 40% and 23%. This aligns with June climatology at Houston’s Intercontinental Airport, where the 1991–2020 normal high is 92°F, while recent model runs show only modest day-to-day variability from possible scattered afternoon convection. Lower-probability outcomes below 88°F or above 94°F reflect the low chance of stronger cloud cover or an unexpected ridge strengthening that could push readings into the mid-90s. Updated NWS forecast discussions and morning model guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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