Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience widespread cloud cover and scattered showers on June 6, consistent with the early stages of the East Asian monsoon or plum rain season, which typically moderates daytime heating. This setup supports market-implied odds favoring a high of 26°C, with nearby outcomes at 25°C and 27°C reflecting modest uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger insolation. Historical early-June climatology shows average highs near 27°C, though persistent moisture and limited sunshine often keep readings in the mid-20s; traders appear to price in these typical conditions while awaiting the next model updates that could shift probabilities if drier air arrives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 6?
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 15%
28°C 9.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
15%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
4%
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 15%
28°C 9.6%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2026
19°C or below
$121 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$782 Vol.
1%
24°C
$533 Vol.
6%
25°C
$425 Vol.
15%
26°C
$205 Vol.
36%
27°C
$67 Vol.
27%
28°C
$383 Vol.
10%
29°C or higher
$630 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience widespread cloud cover and scattered showers on June 6, consistent with the early stages of the East Asian monsoon or plum rain season, which typically moderates daytime heating. This setup supports market-implied odds favoring a high of 26°C, with nearby outcomes at 25°C and 27°C reflecting modest uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger insolation. Historical early-June climatology shows average highs near 27°C, though persistent moisture and limited sunshine often keep readings in the mid-20s; traders appear to price in these typical conditions while awaiting the next model updates that could shift probabilities if drier air arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,237End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience widespread cloud cover and scattered showers on June 6, consistent with the early stages of the East Asian monsoon or plum rain season, which typically moderates daytime heating. This setup supports market-implied odds favoring a high of 26°C, with nearby outcomes at 25°C and 27°C reflecting modest uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger insolation. Historical early-June climatology shows average highs near 27°C, though persistent moisture and limited sunshine often keep readings in the mid-20s; traders appear to price in these typical conditions while awaiting the next model updates that could shift probabilities if drier air arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,237End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience widespread cloud cover and scattered showers on June 6, consistent with the early stages of the East Asian monsoon or plum rain season, which typically moderates daytime heating. This setup supports market-implied odds favoring a high of 26°C, with nearby outcomes at 25°C and 27°C reflecting modest uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly stronger insolation. Historical early-June climatology shows average highs near 27°C, though persistent moisture and limited sunshine often keep readings in the mid-20s; traders appear to price in these typical conditions while awaiting the next model updates that could shift probabilities if drier air arrives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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