Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converge on a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Ankara on June 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited cloud cover, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 49% and 29.5% implied probability. June climatology supports daytime highs near 27°C on average, with current observations showing partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation that favor modest warming without significant advection of cooler air. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and lack of model divergence, while noting that final official readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could still shift within the 25–28°C range depending on afternoon solar heating and any localized variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on June 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 5?
26°C 49%
27°C 34%
25°C 13%
28°C 7%
$19,872 Vol.
$19,872 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
13%
26°C
49%
27°C
34%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 34%
25°C 13%
28°C 7%
$19,872 Vol.
$19,872 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
21°C or below
$343 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$476 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,893 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,242 Vol.
3%
25°C
$3,270 Vol.
13%
26°C
$2,842 Vol.
49%
27°C
$2,611 Vol.
34%
28°C
$2,419 Vol.
7%
29°C
$2,075 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,481 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$350 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converge on a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Ankara on June 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited cloud cover, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 49% and 29.5% implied probability. June climatology supports daytime highs near 27°C on average, with current observations showing partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation that favor modest warming without significant advection of cooler air. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and lack of model divergence, while noting that final official readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could still shift within the 25–28°C range depending on afternoon solar heating and any localized variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$19,872End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converge on a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Ankara on June 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited cloud cover, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 49% and 29.5% implied probability. June climatology supports daytime highs near 27°C on average, with current observations showing partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation that favor modest warming without significant advection of cooler air. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and lack of model divergence, while noting that final official readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could still shift within the 25–28°C range depending on afternoon solar heating and any localized variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,872End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converge on a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Ankara on June 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited cloud cover, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at 49% and 29.5% implied probability. June climatology supports daytime highs near 27°C on average, with current observations showing partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation that favor modest warming without significant advection of cooler air. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of ensemble guidance and lack of model divergence, while noting that final official readings from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could still shift within the 25–28°C range depending on afternoon solar heating and any localized variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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