Hong Kong's June rainfall is shaped by the strengthening southwest monsoon and early typhoon season, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting normal to above-normal totals for the month amid persistently high temperatures. Early June observations show scattered showers and thunderstorms, but the distribution of outcomes around the long-term average of roughly 450-500 mm hinges on whether monsoon trough activity or tropical cyclone passages deliver concentrated downpours. Model consensus points to typical steering patterns, yet divergence in typhoon frequency and track could easily shift totals below 350 mm or above 500 mm, with resolution depending on the next several weeks of official monitoring data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in Hong Kong in June?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?
<350mm 43%
475-500mm 31%
450-475mm 26%
500mm+ 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<350mm
30%
350-375mm
13%
375-400mm
27%
400-425mm
25%
425-450mm
11%
450-475mm
26%
475-500mm
31%
500mm+
21%
<350mm 43%
475-500mm 31%
450-475mm 26%
500mm+ 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<350mm
$196 Vol.
30%
350-375mm
$75 Vol.
13%
375-400mm
$125 Vol.
27%
400-425mm
$81 Vol.
25%
425-450mm
$63 Vol.
11%
450-475mm
$116 Vol.
26%
475-500mm
$150 Vol.
31%
500mm+
$111 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's June rainfall is shaped by the strengthening southwest monsoon and early typhoon season, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting normal to above-normal totals for the month amid persistently high temperatures. Early June observations show scattered showers and thunderstorms, but the distribution of outcomes around the long-term average of roughly 450-500 mm hinges on whether monsoon trough activity or tropical cyclone passages deliver concentrated downpours. Model consensus points to typical steering patterns, yet divergence in typhoon frequency and track could easily shift totals below 350 mm or above 500 mm, with resolution depending on the next several weeks of official monitoring data.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volumen
$918Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's June rainfall is shaped by the strengthening southwest monsoon and early typhoon season, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting normal to above-normal totals for the month amid persistently high temperatures. Early June observations show scattered showers and thunderstorms, but the distribution of outcomes around the long-term average of roughly 450-500 mm hinges on whether monsoon trough activity or tropical cyclone passages deliver concentrated downpours. Model consensus points to typical steering patterns, yet divergence in typhoon frequency and track could easily shift totals below 350 mm or above 500 mm, with resolution depending on the next several weeks of official monitoring data.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between June 1 and June 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in June 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$918Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's June rainfall is shaped by the strengthening southwest monsoon and early typhoon season, with the Hong Kong Observatory forecasting normal to above-normal totals for the month amid persistently high temperatures. Early June observations show scattered showers and thunderstorms, but the distribution of outcomes around the long-term average of roughly 450-500 mm hinges on whether monsoon trough activity or tropical cyclone passages deliver concentrated downpours. Model consensus points to typical steering patterns, yet divergence in typhoon frequency and track could easily shift totals below 350 mm or above 500 mm, with resolution depending on the next several weeks of official monitoring data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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