Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 5 project a minimum of 17°C under mostly cloudy skies with only a 10% chance of scattered showers, aligning with the market’s leading 48% probability for that outcome. The near-equal 39.5% odds on 16°C reflect model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential light precipitation, which could allow slightly greater heat loss. Normal early-June lows average near 17.5°C, and above-average seasonal temperatures expected through the month provide limited downside risk, while the rainy-season transition beginning mid-June introduces minor variability in humidity and wind patterns that traders weigh against the current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 5?
17°C 48%
16°C 43%
15°C 5%
19°C 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
43%
17°C
48%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 48%
16°C 43%
15°C 5%
19°C 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
11°C or below
$897 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$147 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$599 Vol.
2%
15°C
$207 Vol.
5%
16°C
$39 Vol.
43%
17°C
$101 Vol.
48%
18°C
$127 Vol.
4%
19°C
$187 Vol.
5%
20°C
$357 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$307 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 5 project a minimum of 17°C under mostly cloudy skies with only a 10% chance of scattered showers, aligning with the market’s leading 48% probability for that outcome. The near-equal 39.5% odds on 16°C reflect model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential light precipitation, which could allow slightly greater heat loss. Normal early-June lows average near 17.5°C, and above-average seasonal temperatures expected through the month provide limited downside risk, while the rainy-season transition beginning mid-June introduces minor variability in humidity and wind patterns that traders weigh against the current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,349Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 5 project a minimum of 17°C under mostly cloudy skies with only a 10% chance of scattered showers, aligning with the market’s leading 48% probability for that outcome. The near-equal 39.5% odds on 16°C reflect model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential light precipitation, which could allow slightly greater heat loss. Normal early-June lows average near 17.5°C, and above-average seasonal temperatures expected through the month provide limited downside risk, while the rainy-season transition beginning mid-June introduces minor variability in humidity and wind patterns that traders weigh against the current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,349Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on June 5 project a minimum of 17°C under mostly cloudy skies with only a 10% chance of scattered showers, aligning with the market’s leading 48% probability for that outcome. The near-equal 39.5% odds on 16°C reflect model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential light precipitation, which could allow slightly greater heat loss. Normal early-June lows average near 17.5°C, and above-average seasonal temperatures expected through the month provide limited downside risk, while the rainy-season transition beginning mid-June introduces minor variability in humidity and wind patterns that traders weigh against the current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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