Latest Météo-France forecasts and converging numerical weather models have driven near-certain market-implied odds for a 22°C high in Paris on June 4, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance projects morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak of 22°C, consistent with early June climatology for the Paris basin where typical highs range 20–23°C absent strong advection or clear-sky amplification. This consensus aligns with current observational data showing modest solar insolation and no significant warm-air advection from southern Europe. Realistic challenges include any last-minute model shifts toward greater cloud cover or unexpected convective development that could cap the maximum 1–2°C lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 4 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 4 de junio?
22°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
15°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
$170,801 Vol.
$170,801 Vol.
4 jun 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
22°C 99.9%
23°C <1%
15°C o menos <1%
16°C <1%
$170,801 Vol.
$170,801 Vol.
4 jun 2026
15°C o menos
$138 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$771 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,202 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14,161 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$30,896 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$23,380 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$45,252 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$32,275 Vol.
100%
23°C
$11,938 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,550 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$4,237 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France forecasts and converging numerical weather models have driven near-certain market-implied odds for a 22°C high in Paris on June 4, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance projects morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak of 22°C, consistent with early June climatology for the Paris basin where typical highs range 20–23°C absent strong advection or clear-sky amplification. This consensus aligns with current observational data showing modest solar insolation and no significant warm-air advection from southern Europe. Realistic challenges include any last-minute model shifts toward greater cloud cover or unexpected convective development that could cap the maximum 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$170,801Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France forecasts and converging numerical weather models have driven near-certain market-implied odds for a 22°C high in Paris on June 4, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance projects morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak of 22°C, consistent with early June climatology for the Paris basin where typical highs range 20–23°C absent strong advection or clear-sky amplification. This consensus aligns with current observational data showing modest solar insolation and no significant warm-air advection from southern Europe. Realistic challenges include any last-minute model shifts toward greater cloud cover or unexpected convective development that could cap the maximum 1–2°C lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$170,801Fecha de finalización
4 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts and converging numerical weather models have driven near-certain market-implied odds for a 22°C high in Paris on June 4, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Official guidance projects morning lows near 14°C rising to an afternoon peak of 22°C, consistent with early June climatology for the Paris basin where typical highs range 20–23°C absent strong advection or clear-sky amplification. This consensus aligns with current observational data showing modest solar insolation and no significant warm-air advection from southern Europe. Realistic challenges include any last-minute model shifts toward greater cloud cover or unexpected convective development that could cap the maximum 1–2°C lower.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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